Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+125
NYMNew York Mets-150
Pick Probability59%STL moneyline
STLHunter Dobbins
NYMChristian Scott
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model favors STL 58.6% vs market's 44.6% (from +120). Market disagreement is large but model may be overweighting STL's .812 OPS comparison. Both p...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-115
BALBaltimore Orioles-104
Pick Probability56%SEA moneyline
SEABryan Woo
BALKyle Bradish
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-158
COLColorado Rockies+132
Pick Probability55%CHC moneyline
CHCEdward Cabrera
COLRyan Feltner
Market OddsPregame
Market Total11.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market and model align on CHC (-142 vs 55% implied). Coors 1.47 PF drives model total to 9.4, but market sits at 11.0—a 1.6-run gap. Model may be u...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-179
PITPittsburgh Pirates+150
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADJustin Wrobleski
PITMitch Keller
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+110
DETDetroit Tigers-130
Pick Probability54%DET moneyline
MINZebby Matthews
DETKeider Montero
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+100
KCRKansas City Royals-118
Pick Probability53%KCR moneyline
TEXKumar Rocker
KCRMichael Wacha
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
KCR / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 53.4% vs market 51.6% is near-consensus on KCR. Both pitchers solid (Wacha 3.44 ERA, Rocker 3.54 ERA in 10 starts each). Market total 10.5...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+107
MIAMiami Marlins-128
Pick Probability52%ARI moneyline
ARIMerrill Kelly
MIATyler Phillips
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
ARI / pass confidence / Rank 4

Model and market agree on a coin flip (model 52.2% ARI, market 47.7% ARI). Phillips' 2.08 ERA in 43.3 IP is unsustainable; Kelly's 5.71 ERA in 58.3...

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