Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

ATL at PHI

PHI moneyline leads the current board at 61%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

ATLAtlanta Braves39%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies61%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability61%
Closing odds-188
Game time
VenueCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PA
ATL starterGrant Holmes
PHI starterJesús Luzardo
Top pick of 15 on 2026-09-07Open matchup
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Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-07
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+156
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-188
Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total7.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 1...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-130
Pick Probability58%STL moneyline
STLMichael McGreevyProbable
SFGLogan WebbProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-216
OAKOakland Athletics+180
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TORDylan CeaseProbable
OAKJacob LopezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+115
BALBaltimore Orioles-136
Pick Probability57%BAL moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
BALTrevor RogersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs pe...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+165
SDPSan Diego Padres-200
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Today Board

Full public board across available sports

11 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+156
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-188
Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total7.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-130
Pick Probability58%STL moneyline
STLMichael McGreevyProbable
SFGLogan WebbProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-216
OAKOakland Athletics+180
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TORDylan CeaseProbable
OAKJacob LopezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+115
BALBaltimore Orioles-136
Pick Probability57%BAL moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
BALTrevor RogersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs pe...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+165
SDPSan Diego Padres-200
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-105
KCRKansas City Royals-113
Pick Probability56%KCR moneyline
ARIDerek LawConfirmed
KCRNoah CameronConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+150
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-179
Pick Probability56%LAD moneyline
CINChase BurnsProbable
LADEmmet SheehanProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+115
MIAMiami Marlins-137
Pick Probability54%MIA moneyline
NYMJonah TongConfirmed
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+150
BOSBoston Red Sox-180
Pick Probability52%BOS moneyline
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
BOSBrayan BelloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model 61.1% and market 61.4% agree on BOS, so no comparison either way. Boston's starter is TBD with fallback stats (3.15 ERA, 10.45 K/9) that may...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+103
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline
MINJoe RyanConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+105
MILMilwaukee Brewers-124
Pick Probability52%CHC moneyline
CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model leans CHC at 51.6% while the market implies 53.5% home; I side with Milwaukee on the better record (88-56 vs 81-63) and home field. The team...

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