MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-06-25 / 16 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Lines Best price bovada fanduel draftkings betmgm betonlineag betrivers fanatics
KCR at TBR Jun 25, 10:10 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastSeth Lugo KCR starter / away
Projected K 3.5 Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +128 betrivers / U -140 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 28%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 86% over
O 2.5 68% over
O 3.5 47% under
O 4.5 28% under
O 5.5 15% under
O 6.5 7% under
O 7.5 3% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Casey Legumina TBR starter / home
Projected K 2.4 Actual 0 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 68% under
O 2.5 42% under
O 3.5 22% under
O 4.5 10% under
O 5.5 4% under
O 6.5 1% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
SEA at PIT Jun 25, 10:35 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastBryce Miller SEA starter / away
Projected K 4.3 Actual 11 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -104 fanduel / U -110 bovada 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 27%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 80% over
O 3.5 62% over
O 4.5 44% over
O 5.5 27% over
O 6.5 16% over
O 7.5 8% over
O 8.5 4% over
O 9.5 2% over
O 10.5 1% over
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.
Bubba Chandler PIT starter / home
Projected K 4.6 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -136 betrivers / U +128 betonlineag 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 67% over
O 4.5 49% under
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 11% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
OAK at SFG Jun 25, 1:45 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastJeffrey Springs OAK starter / away
Projected K 3.8 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -118 fanduel / U -103 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 34%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% over
O 2.5 73% over
O 3.5 53% over
O 4.5 34% over
O 5.5 20% over
O 6.5 10% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Landen Roupp SFG starter / home
Projected K 5.6 Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +120 betmgm / U -138 draftkings 5 books at this line
Model over 6.5 34%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 80% over
O 4.5 65% over
O 5.5 49% over
O 6.5 34% under
O 7.5 21% under
O 8.5 13% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
HOU at DET Jun 25, 4:40 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTatsuya Imai HOU starter / away
Projected K 4.9 Actual 10 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +105 bovada / U -117 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 5.5 37%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% over
O 3.5 71% over
O 4.5 54% over
O 5.5 37% over
O 6.5 23% over
O 7.5 13% over
O 8.5 7% over
O 9.5 4% over
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Troy Melton DET starter / home
Projected K 4.1 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +125 betonlineag / U -148 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 39%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 58% over
O 4.5 39% over
O 5.5 24% over
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
PHI at WSN Jun 25, 4:45 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCristopher Sánchez PHI starter / away
Projected K 6.4 Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +114 fanduel / U -123 betonlineag 6 books at this line
Model over 6.5 45%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 94% over
O 3.5 87% over
O 4.5 75% over
O 5.5 60% over
O 6.5 45% under
O 7.5 32% under
O 8.5 21% under
O 9.5 12% under
O 10.5 7% under
O 11.5 4% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Cade Cavalli WSN starter / home
Projected K 5.1 Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -136 betrivers / U +120 bovada 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 57%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 74% over
O 4.5 57% over
O 5.5 41% over
O 6.5 26% over
O 7.5 16% under
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
TEX at TOR Jun 25, 5:07 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMacKenzie Gore TEX starter / away
Projected K 4.5 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -136 draftkings / U +120 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 47%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 82% over
O 3.5 65% over
O 4.5 47% over
O 5.5 31% under
O 6.5 18% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Kevin Gausman TOR starter / home
Projected K 5.5 Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -132 draftkings / U +116 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 47%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 90% over
O 3.5 79% over
O 4.5 63% under
O 5.5 47% under
O 6.5 32% under
O 7.5 20% under
O 8.5 12% under
O 9.5 6% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
CHC at NYM Jun 25, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMatthew Boyd CHC starter / away
Projected K 4.1 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +105 draftkings / U -110 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 59% over
O 4.5 40% under
O 5.5 24% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Freddy Peralta NYM starter / home
Projected K 5.0 Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +114 fanduel / U -134 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 5.5 38%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% over
O 3.5 72% over
O 4.5 55% over
O 5.5 38% under
O 6.5 24% under
O 7.5 14% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
NYY at BOS Jun 25, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCam Schlittler NYY starter / away
Projected K 5.2 Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +100 fanduel / U -121 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 6.5 27%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 75% over
O 4.5 58% over
O 5.5 41% over
O 6.5 27% over
O 7.5 16% over
O 8.5 9% over
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Connelly Early BOS starter / home
Projected K 5.3 Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -110 fanduel / U -102 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 44%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 89% over
O 3.5 77% over
O 4.5 61% over
O 5.5 44% over
O 6.5 29% over
O 7.5 18% over
O 8.5 10% over
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.