Market heavily favors MIL at 68.9% vs model's 65.2%. Misiorowski's 1.50 ERA over 78 IP is elite but his SHAP features oddly include 'home_rolling_s...

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

MIAMiami Marlins+121

PITPittsburgh Pirates-145

Pick Probability60%PIT moneyline

PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 5:10 PM MDT

Open

DETDetroit Tigers+105

CLECleveland Guardians-125

Pick Probability59%DET moneyline

DET / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model likes DET at 58.6% vs market's 46.7% — a 12-point gap. Top SHAP feature is away launch angle driving both side and total. Flaherty's 5.31 ERA...

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 5:05 PM MDT

Open

SDPSan Diego Padres+110

BALBaltimore Orioles-132

Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 7:38 PM MDT

Open

TBRTampa Bay Rays-164

LAALos Angeles Angels+140

Pick Probability57%TBR moneyline

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

ATLAtlanta Braves+108

NYMNew York Mets-128

Pick Probability55%ATL moneyline

NYM / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has ATL at 55.2% but market has NYM favored at 53.9% — flags as large disagreement. Both teams score 4.3 RPG; ATL's comparison is .789 vs .73...

MLBMoneylineJun 12, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-104

CINCincinnati Reds-115

Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline

ARI / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Rodriguez (2.52 ERA, 78.7 IP) is a true sample with measurable skill. Lodolo (5.51 ERA, 32.7 IP) is struggling. Market sees a coinflip; model leans...