Ranked picks with source labels.

Market (69.4%) is higher on BOS than the model (62.7%), and the underlying gap supports the market: Boston 7.5 RPG/.736 OPS vs Oakland 2.9 RPG/.512...

Model's 53.6% on WSN sits ~10 points above market's 43.4%, and the pitching comparison points the other way: Burns at 2.35 ERA, 10.39 K/9, 1.10 WHI...

Fading the model here: it takes NYY at 53% while market implies 43%, despite NYY scoring 2.8 RPG with a .692 OPS against Sale (2.08 ERA, 11.0 K/9,...