Ranked picks with source labels.

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 1...

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is...

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs pe...

Model 61.1% and market 61.4% agree on BOS, so no comparison either way. Boston's starter is TBD with fallback stats (3.15 ERA, 10.45 K/9) that may...

Model leans CHC at 51.6% while the market implies 53.5% home; I side with Milwaukee on the better record (88-56 vs 81-63) and home field. The team...