Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

TOR at NYY

NYY moneyline leads the current board at 64%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

TORToronto Blue Jays36%

NYYNew York Yankees64%

Open matchup View top picks

Spotlight game / By the numbers

Pick probability64%

Market odds-145

Game timeMay 21, 5:05 PM MDT

VenueYankee Stadium · New York, NY

TOR starterBraydon Fisher

NYY starterCarlos Rodón

Top pick of 8 on 2026-05-21Open matchup

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Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-21

#1MLBMoneylineMay 21, 5:05 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays+121

NYYNew York Yankees-145

Pick Probability64%NYY moneyline

TORBraydon Fisher

NYYCarlos Rodón

Market OddsPregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.4

NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has NYY at 64% vs market 59%, a modest 5pt comparison. Fisher has 2.1 IP this season—effectively unknown. Rodón's missing ERA/WHIP makes both...

#2MLBMoneylineMay 21, 7:40 PM MDT

COLColorado Rockies+177

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-210

Pick Probability63%ARI moneyline

ARIEduardo Rodriguez

Market OddsPregame

Market Total9.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context1.2

ARI / pass confidence / Rank 4

Rodriguez has 5.0 IP across 10 starts (0.5 IP/start avg) — clearly injured/unavailable most of season. Agnos has 1.1 IP total. Both pitcher lines a...

#3MLBMoneylineMay 21, 11:15 AM MDT

PITPittsburgh Pirates-120

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+102

Pick Probability58%STL moneyline

PITBraxton Ashcraft

Market OddsPregame

Market Total7.0

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context0.8

PIT / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has STL 58% vs market 45%, a 13-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Dustin May's 13.5 ERA in 4.0 IP is catastrophically small sample; As...

#4MLBMoneylineMay 21, 11:10 AM MDT

CLECleveland Guardians+101

DETDetroit Tigers-120

Pick Probability58%DET moneyline

CLEJoey Cantillo

Market OddsPregame

Market Total7.0

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.5

CLE / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors DET at 57.5% vs market 51.7%, but DET is 20-30 scoring 2.6 RPG (.582 OPS) while CLE is 29-22 at 5.6 RPG. Missing pitcher stats for Miz...

#5MLBMoneylineMay 21, 2:05 PM MDT

NYMNew York Mets-112

WSNWashington Nationals-105

Pick Probability58%WSN moneyline

NYMDavid Peterson

WSNCade Cavalli

Market OddsPregame

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.3

WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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MLBMoneylineMay 21, 5:05 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays+121

NYYNew York Yankees-145

Pick Probability64%NYY moneyline

TORBraydon Fisher

NYYCarlos Rodón

Market OddsPregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.4

NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has NYY at 64% vs market 59%, a modest 5pt comparison. Fisher has 2.1 IP this season—effectively unknown. Rodón's missing ERA/WHIP makes both...

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 7:40 PM MDT

COLColorado Rockies+177

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-210

Pick Probability63%ARI moneyline

ARIEduardo Rodriguez

Market OddsPregame

Market Total9.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context1.2

ARI / pass confidence / Rank 4

Rodriguez has 5.0 IP across 10 starts (0.5 IP/start avg) — clearly injured/unavailable most of season. Agnos has 1.1 IP total. Both pitcher lines a...

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 11:15 AM MDT

PITPittsburgh Pirates-120

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+102

Pick Probability58%STL moneyline

PITBraxton Ashcraft

Market OddsPregame

Market Total7.0

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context0.8

PIT / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has STL 58% vs market 45%, a 13-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Dustin May's 13.5 ERA in 4.0 IP is catastrophically small sample; As...

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 11:10 AM MDT

CLECleveland Guardians+101

DETDetroit Tigers-120

Pick Probability58%DET moneyline

CLEJoey Cantillo

Market OddsPregame

Market Total7.0

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.5

CLE / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors DET at 57.5% vs market 51.7%, but DET is 20-30 scoring 2.6 RPG (.582 OPS) while CLE is 29-22 at 5.6 RPG. Missing pitcher stats for Miz...

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 2:05 PM MDT

NYMNew York Mets-112

WSNWashington Nationals-105

Pick Probability58%WSN moneyline

NYMDavid Peterson

WSNCade Cavalli

Market OddsPregame

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.3

WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

May 21, 6:00 PM MDTNHL / nhl

MTLMontreal Canadiens

CARCarolina Hurricanes

MoneylineCAR moneyline

Pick Probability54%

Market Odds-205

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 7:38 PM MDT

OAKOakland Athletics+100

LAALos Angeles Angels-120

Pick Probability54%LAA moneyline

OAKLuis Severino

LAAJosé Soriano

Market OddsPregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.2

LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineMay 21, 4:40 PM MDT

ATLAtlanta Braves-139

MIAMiami Marlins+120

Pick Probability52%ATL moneyline

ATLSpencer Strider

MIASandy Alcantara

Market OddsPregame

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.3

ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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