MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model has TOR at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% — a 13.4-point gap. Gausman's 16.5 K/9 and 0.17 WHIP over 60 IP is elite, not noise. Rasmussen's 3.6 K/9 i...
Model at 58.6% for LAD vs market's 69.4% is a massive gap. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme pitcher-friendly. Ohtani's strikeout dominance...
Jovani Morán has 2.0 IP this season—essentially an opener or bulk guy, not a traditional starter. Model treats this as ace_matchup based on Valdez'...
Model has PHI 58% vs market 63%; offense_defense_mismatch fired (PHI 15-20, worse record and 4.3 RPG vs OAK 18-16, 4.7 RPG). Sánchez stats (6 IP, 0...
Model sees CLE 55.7%, market has them at 51.4% – minimal comparison. Model's 9.31 total is 1.8 runs over market 7.5, likely driven by Kauffman's 1....
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model at 58.6% for LAD vs market's 69.4% is a massive gap. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme pitcher-friendly. Ohtani's strikeout dominance shows in top SHAP fe...
Model has CIN at 52% but market prices CHC at 60.5% (Pinnacle -162). That's an 8-point gap flagged as market_disagreement_large. CHC is 23-12 with better offense (5.1...
Model has TOR at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% — a 13.4-point gap. Gausman's 16.5 K/9 and 0.17 WHIP over 60 IP is elite, not noise. Rasmussen's 3.6 K/9 in 50 IP suggests con...
Model sees CLE 55.7%, market has them at 51.4% – minimal comparison. Model's 9.31 total is 1.8 runs over market 7.5, likely driven by Kauffman's 1.09 park factor and K...
Model favors BAL 55.2%, market has MIA 54.8%—basically a coin flip. Alcantara's 0.00 ERA across 7.0 IP (10 starts) signals extreme small sample or injury return. Bassi...
Model has PHI 58% vs market 63%; offense_defense_mismatch fired (PHI 15-20, worse record and 4.3 RPG vs OAK 18-16, 4.7 RPG). Sánchez stats (6 IP, 0.00 ERA) are extreme...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has TOR at 58.6% vs market's 45.2% — a 13.4-point gap. Gausman's 16.5 K/9 and 0.17 WHIP over 60 IP is elite, not noise. Rasmussen's 3.6 K/9 i...
Model at 58.6% for LAD vs market's 69.4% is a massive gap. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme pitcher-friendly. Ohtani's strikeout dominance...
Jovani Morán has 2.0 IP this season—essentially an opener or bulk guy, not a traditional starter. Model treats this as ace_matchup based on Valdez'...
Model has PHI 58% vs market 63%; offense_defense_mismatch fired (PHI 15-20, worse record and 4.3 RPG vs OAK 18-16, 4.7 RPG). Sánchez stats (6 IP, 0...
Model sees CLE 55.7%, market has them at 51.4% – minimal comparison. Model's 9.31 total is 1.8 runs over market 7.5, likely driven by Kauffman's 1....
Model favors BAL 55.2%, market has MIA 54.8%—basically a coin flip. Alcantara's 0.00 ERA across 7.0 IP (10 starts) signals extreme small sample or...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Webb's 10.8 ERA in 5.0 IP is not a real 10.8 pitcher (tiny sample), but he is clearly struggling. Buehler has zero resolved stats—data_quality is '...
Model has CIN at 52% but market prices CHC at 60.5% (Pinnacle -162). That's an 8-point gap flagged as market_disagreement_large. CHC is 23-12 with...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.