Ranked picks with source labels.

Model has NYY at 64% vs market 59%, a modest 5pt comparison. Fisher has 2.1 IP this season—effectively unknown. Rodón's missing ERA/WHIP makes both...

Rodriguez has 5.0 IP across 10 starts (0.5 IP/start avg) — clearly injured/unavailable most of season. Agnos has 1.1 IP total. Both pitcher lines a...

Model has STL 58% vs market 45%, a 13-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Dustin May's 13.5 ERA in 4.0 IP is catastrophically small sample; As...

Model favors DET at 57.5% vs market 51.7%, but DET is 20-30 scoring 2.6 RPG (.582 OPS) while CLE is 29-22 at 5.6 RPG. Missing pitcher stats for Miz...