Top Picks
Ranked picks with source labels.
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Top Picks
Strongest current predictions
Model at 57.6% vs market 58.2% on ATL—tight convergence. Pérez (3.00 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) vs Liberatore (5.56 ERA, 1.58 WHIP) is a clear mismatch favori...
Model predicts 9.28 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.78 gap triggering total_far_from_market. deGrom (3.55 ERA, 10.76 K/9) vs Bibee (3.78 ERA) in pitcher-fri...
Model has SDP at 56% but market strongly favors CHC at 58%. The 3.5-run gap between model's 7.52 total and market's 11.0 is massive—model sees pitc...
Model and market converge on MIA (model 56%, market 58%). Coors inflates the model's 9.64 total vs market 11.5; park_factor dominates SHAP at +3.4....
Model has CHW 55.8%, market implies BAL 55.6% — near-consensus on a coin flip. The 3.15-run gap between model total (7.35) and market (10.5) is mas...
Model has TBR 55.8%, market implies 54.8% — minimal comparison. Model total 8.29 vs market 10.0 is a 1.7-run gap; likely the model underweights KCR...
Model gives MIN 55.8%, market implies 51.2% — modest comparison. Joe Ryan (3.18 ERA, 10.41 K/9, 1.03 WHIP) vs Burrows (5.48 ERA, 7.28 K/9, 1.5 WHIP...