Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2
BM at S0E
Bayern win leads the current board at 79%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.
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Why this pick? Model probability is 79% for Bayern win. Expected goals sit at 0.8-2.8.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Why this pick? Model probability is 65% for PSG win. Expected goals sit at 0.8-2.0.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Why this pick? Model probability is 64% for Barça win. Expected goals sit at 0.9-2.1.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Why this pick? Model probability is 64% for Napoli win. Expected goals sit at 2.0-0.9.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Model (61.1%) and market (62.0% implied) agree on Boston, so no comparison either way — defer to the consensus. Tolle's 3.15 ERA with 10.45 K/9 and...
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Model (61.1%) and market (62.0% implied) agree on Boston, so no comparison either way — defer to the consensus. Tolle's 3.15 ERA with 10.45 K/9 and...
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Model (56.2%) and market (56.6%) are effectively identical on ARI, so no comparison either way; the pick rests on Eduardo Rodriguez (2.55 ERA, 1.20...
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Model has OAK at 52.5% while the market implies 43.2% — a 9-point gap on the side with the worse record (60-89 vs 70-79) and far worse offense (.51...
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Model's 50.1% on CHC is well below market's 59.1%, and the gap looks unjustified: Chicago is 83-66 with 5.0 RPG versus Pittsburgh's 3.2 RPG, and Bo...