MLB moneyline board.

Model (61.3%) and market (64%) both favor KCR; the pitching comparison is real with Wacha at 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 150.7 IP versus Barnett's 6.16 ERA and 1.45 WH...

Market has CHC at 60.3% while the model sits at 53.7%; Imanaga's 3.74 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 137.1 IP at a 0.951 park factor supports the market's number more than the...

Model backs CIN despite a worse record (59-64 vs 63-61) and a large offensive gap (3.2 RPG/.629 OPS vs 5.2/.812) — the offense_defense_mismatch flag reads as a red fla...

Model has CIN at 55.9% vs market 46% — an 10-point gap on the team with the worse record (59-64) and far worse offense (3.2 RPG, .629 OPS vs STL's 5.2/.812). Lowder's...

Model takes BAL despite a worse record (61-63 vs 74-49) and a large OPS gap (.662 vs .802) — the offense/defense mismatch flag reads as a red flag on its side. McClana...

Near coin flip: market implies 49.3% home, model 52.8% DET, and both starters are mid-rotation (Mlodzinski 3.79 ERA/1.40 WHIP, Valdez 4.26 ERA/1.39 WHIP). Slight nod t...