MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-06-14 / 28 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Lines Best price bovada fanduel draftkings betmgm betrivers fanatics
MIA at PIT Jun 14, 10:15 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMax Meyer MIA starter / away
Projected K 5.9 Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -112 draftkings / U -105 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 92% over
O 3.5 83% over
O 4.5 69% over
O 5.5 53% over
O 6.5 38% over
O 7.5 25% over
O 8.5 15% over
O 9.5 9% under
O 10.5 5% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Paul Skenes PIT starter / home
Projected K 6.3 Actual 10 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -130 fanduel / U +121 draftkings 3 books at this line
Model over 6.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 94% over
O 3.5 86% over
O 4.5 74% over
O 5.5 59% over
O 6.5 43% over
O 7.5 30% over
O 8.5 19% over
O 9.5 11% over
O 10.5 6% under
O 11.5 3% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
SEA at WSN Jun 14, 11:35 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastEmerson Hancock SEA starter / away
Projected K 4.5 Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +130 bovada / U -152 betrivers 3 books at this line
Model over 4.5 47%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 82% under
O 3.5 65% under
O 4.5 47% under
O 5.5 30% under
O 6.5 18% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
PJ Poulin WSN starter / home
Projected K 2.1 Actual 0 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 62% under
O 2.5 35% under
O 3.5 16% under
O 4.5 7% under
O 5.5 2% under
O 6.5 1% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
SDP at BAL Jun 14, 11:35 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastWalker Buehler SDP starter / away
Projected K 4.2 Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -140 fanatics / U +113 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 59%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 78% over
O 3.5 59% over
O 4.5 41% over
O 5.5 25% under
O 6.5 14% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Trevor Rogers BAL starter / home
Projected K 4.6 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +122 draftkings / U -130 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 67% over
O 4.5 48% under
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
NYY at TOR Jun 14, 11:37 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastWill Warren NYY starter / away
Projected K 4.8 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -121 betrivers / U +105 bovada 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% under
O 2.5 84% under
O 3.5 69% under
O 4.5 51% under
O 5.5 35% under
O 6.5 21% under
O 7.5 12% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Patrick Corbin TOR starter / home
Projected K 3.9 Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -122 fanduel / U +114 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% over
O 2.5 73% over
O 3.5 53% under
O 4.5 34% under
O 5.5 20% under
O 6.5 10% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
ATL at NYM Jun 14, 11:40 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastBryce Elder ATL starter / away
Projected K 4.3 Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +112 draftkings / U -130 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 79% under
O 3.5 61% under
O 4.5 42% under
O 5.5 27% under
O 6.5 15% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Freddy Peralta NYM starter / home
Projected K 5.4 Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +119 draftkings / U -125 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 45%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 89% under
O 3.5 77% under
O 4.5 61% under
O 5.5 45% under
O 6.5 30% under
O 7.5 18% under
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 6% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
ARI at CIN Jun 14, 11:40 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastZac Gallen ARI starter / away
Projected K 4.3 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -107 draftkings / U +117 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 79% over
O 3.5 61% over
O 4.5 43% under
O 5.5 27% under
O 6.5 15% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Andrew Abbott CIN starter / home
Projected K 4.6 Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -120 fanatics / U +114 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 66%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 66% over
O 4.5 48% over
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
STL at MIN Jun 14, 12:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMichael McGreevy STL starter / away
Projected K 4.0 Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -105 draftkings / U -118 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 55%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90% over
O 2.5 75% under
O 3.5 55% under
O 4.5 36% under
O 5.5 21% under
O 6.5 11% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Taj Bradley MIN starter / home
Projected K 5.5 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +124 fanduel / U -150 bovada 4 books at this line
Model over 5.5 47%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 90% over
O 3.5 78% over
O 4.5 63% over
O 5.5 47% over
O 6.5 32% over
O 7.5 20% under
O 8.5 11% under
O 9.5 6% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
PHI at MIL Jun 14, 12:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCristopher Sánchez PHI starter / away
Projected K 7.2 Actual 3 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.5 7.5 O +122 fanduel / U -150 bovada 5 books at this line
Model over 7.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 97% over
O 3.5 92% under
O 4.5 83% under
O 5.5 71% under
O 6.5 57% under
O 7.5 43% under
O 8.5 31% under
O 9.5 21% under
O 10.5 13% under
O 11.5 8% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Kyle Harrison MIL starter / home
Projected K 7.0 Actual 3 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -130 betmgm / U +118 draftkings 3 books at this line
Model over 6.5 54%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 96% over
O 3.5 91% under
O 4.5 81% under
O 5.5 69% under
O 6.5 54% under
O 7.5 40% under
O 8.5 28% under
O 9.5 18% under
O 10.5 11% under
O 11.5 7% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
HOU at KCR Jun 14, 12:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastSpencer Arrighetti HOU starter / away
Projected K 4.5 Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -135 bovada / U +110 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 46%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 81% over
O 3.5 64% over
O 4.5 46% over
O 5.5 30% over
O 6.5 17% over
O 7.5 9% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Stephen Kolek KCR starter / home
Projected K 4.3 Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -142 fanduel / U +116 fanduel 4 books at this line
Model over 3.5 61%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 79% over
O 3.5 61% over
O 4.5 42% under
O 5.5 26% under
O 6.5 15% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
LAD at CHW Jun 14, 12:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastEmmet Sheehan LAD starter / away
Projected K 5.2 Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +106 draftkings / U -115 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 75% over
O 4.5 58% over
O 5.5 42% over
O 6.5 27% over
O 7.5 16% over
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Bryan Hudson CHW starter / home
Projected K 1.9 Actual 0 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 55% under
O 2.5 28% under
O 3.5 12% under
O 4.5 4% under
O 5.5 1% under
O 6.5 0% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
COL at OAK Jun 14, 1:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTomoyuki Sugano COL starter / away
Projected K 3.6 Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O +135 bovada / U -164 draftkings 3 books at this line
Model over 3.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 87% over
O 2.5 69% under
O 3.5 48% under
O 4.5 30% under
O 5.5 16% under
O 6.5 8% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Jeffrey Springs OAK starter / home
Projected K 5.0 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -135 betmgm / U +112 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 55%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% over
O 3.5 72% over
O 4.5 55% over
O 5.5 38% under
O 6.5 24% under
O 7.5 14% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
CHC at SFG Jun 14, 1:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastRyan Rolison CHC starter / away
Projected K 1.7 Actual 0 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 49% under
O 2.5 23% under
O 3.5 9% under
O 4.5 3% under
O 5.5 1% under
O 6.5 0% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Logan Webb SFG starter / home
Projected K 4.7 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +105 betmgm / U -122 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 33%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 67% over
O 4.5 49% over
O 5.5 33% over
O 6.5 20% over
O 7.5 11% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
TBR at LAA Jun 14, 2:07 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCasey Legumina TBR starter / away
Projected K 2.1 Actual 1 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 62% under
O 2.5 36% under
O 3.5 17% under
O 4.5 7% under
O 5.5 2% under
O 6.5 1% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Grayson Rodriguez LAA starter / home
Projected K 5.1 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -140 fanatics / U +122 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 57%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% under
O 2.5 88% under
O 3.5 74% under
O 4.5 57% under
O 5.5 41% under
O 6.5 26% under
O 7.5 16% under
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
TEX at BOS Jun 14, 5:20 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastNathan Eovaldi TEX starter / away
Projected K 5.3 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -145 draftkings / U +120 betmgm 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 60%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 89% over
O 3.5 76% over
O 4.5 60% over
O 5.5 43% over
O 6.5 29% under
O 7.5 18% under
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Connelly Early BOS starter / home
Projected K 5.2 Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +112 draftkings / U -129 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 75% under
O 4.5 59% under
O 5.5 42% under
O 6.5 27% under
O 7.5 16% under
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.