Ranked picks with source labels.

Model has LAD at 58% while Pinnacle implies 73% — a massive 15-point gap. Missing Paddack data (null ERA/IP/WHIP) suggests pitcher_data_fallback sh...

Model's 9.07 total vs market 7.0 is a 2-run gap—largest flag here. Cease's 20.25 K/9 in 5.1 IP is microscopic sample, but elite strikeout stuff is...

Model favors TBR at 57.4% vs market's 44% (inverted from -135), a notable gap. Messick has 10 starts but no stats recorded—likely fallback or incom...

Both starters in extreme small samples: Montgomery 2.1 IP, May 4.0 IP. Model's moneyline (STL 55.7%) nearly matches market (STL 54.8%), but pitcher...

NYY favored by both model (55.7%) and market (60.9% implied). Yankees averaging 6.4 RPG vs TEX 4.0 RPG over 28 games each. Fried's 0.00 ERA in 6.1...