Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+208
MILMilwaukee Brewers-251
Pick Probability65%MIL moneyline
PHITanner Banks
MILJacob Misiorowski
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Market heavily favors MIL at 68.9% vs model's 65.2%. Misiorowski's 1.50 ERA over 78 IP is elite but his SHAP features oddly include 'home_rolling_s...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+121
PITPittsburgh Pirates-145
Pick Probability60%PIT moneyline
MIASandy Alcantara
PITBraxton Ashcraft
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+105
CLECleveland Guardians-125
Pick Probability59%DET moneyline
DETJack Flaherty
CLETanner Bibee
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.4
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model likes DET at 58.6% vs market's 46.7% — a 12-point gap. Top SHAP feature is away launch angle driving both side and total. Flaherty's 5.31 ERA...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+110
BALBaltimore Orioles-132
Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline
SDPGriffin Canning
BALShane Baz
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-164
LAALos Angeles Angels+140
Pick Probability57%TBR moneyline
TBRShane McClanahan
LAASam Aldegheri
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+108
NYMNew York Mets-128
Pick Probability55%ATL moneyline
ATLSpencer Strider
NYMNolan McLean
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has ATL at 55.2% but market has NYM favored at 53.9% — flags as large disagreement. Both teams score 4.3 RPG; ATL's comparison is .789 vs .73...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-104
CINCincinnati Reds-115
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
ARIEduardo Rodriguez
CINNick Lodolo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
ARI / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Rodriguez (2.52 ERA, 78.7 IP) is a true sample with measurable skill. Lodolo (5.51 ERA, 32.7 IP) is struggling. Market sees a coinflip; model leans...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-156
CHWChicago White Sox+130
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADRoki Sasaki
CHWAnthony Kay
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+105
SFGSan Francisco Giants-126
Pick Probability55%CHC moneyline
CHCJavier Assad
SFGLanden Roupp
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model has CHC at 55.2%, market at 49.1% (away +100). Small comparison to Cubs but not actionable. SFG's 5.7 RPG vs 0.388 OPS is extreme (likely typ...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+114
MINMinnesota Twins-136
Pick Probability54%MIN moneyline
STLKyle Leahy
MINJoe Ryan
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-106
KCRKansas City Royals-112
Pick Probability54%KCR moneyline
HOUTatsuya Imai
KCRLuinder Avila
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors KCR 53.5% but market has HOU slight favorite at 52.4%. HOU's .695 OPS vs KCR's .518 is a meaningful comparison overlooked by model's s...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees+102
TORToronto Blue Jays-122
Pick Probability53%TOR moneyline
NYYRyan Weathers
TORTrey Yesavage
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model sees a coin flip (50.6% TOR) matching market (-107/-101). TOR pitcher is TBD fallback with 10.23 ERA placeholder stats; real pitcher unknown....

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-148
WSNWashington Nationals+123
Pick Probability53%SEA moneyline
SEABryce Miller
WSNZack Littell
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+110
BOSBoston Red Sox-132
Pick Probability51%BOS moneyline
TEXJack Leiter
BOSSonny Gray
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+180
OAKOakland Athletics-213
Pick Probability51%OAK moneyline
COLSean Sullivan
OAKGage Jump
Market OddsPregame
Market Total14.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
OAK / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Market strongly favors OAK (63.6% implied) while model sees coin flip (50.6%). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 5.20 ERA baseline. Model's 9.04 to...

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