Ranked picks with source labels.

Model takes OAK at 57.6% against a market implying 59.2% home — a large gap with no supporting fundamentals. OAK is 45-69 with a .512 OPS and 3.3 R...

Cease (2.41 ERA, 13.12 K/9, 1.08 WHIP) against Peterson (5.52 ERA, 1.48 WHIP) is a large starter gap that outweighs the record and RPG mismatch fla...

Model takes DET at 57.6% against a market implying 53.8% home; I side with Seattle. Bryce Miller's 2.80 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over 74 IP outclass Valde...

Model takes SDP despite worse record (59-56 vs 61-54) and lower RPG (4.9 vs 5.5) and OPS (.547 vs .564) — the mismatch flag argues against it. Mark...

Market (63.9%) is more bullish on Boston than the model (57.5%), and the fundamentals support it: BOS at 6.0 RPG with Suarez at 3.15 ERA, 9.45 K/9,...