Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+168
ATLAtlanta Braves-201
Pick Probability65%ATL moneyline
ARIBrandon PfaadtConfirmed
ATLChris SaleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

ATL is the better team (73-48, .789 OPS vs ARI's .564) and at home, so the model's 65% lean is directionally fine. But the Braves starter is TBD wi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-151
TORToronto Blue Jays+128
Pick Probability61%NYY moneyline
NYYGerrit ColeConfirmed
TORShane BieberConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.8
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context2.2
AI Analyst
NYY / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Cole (3.35 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.71 K/9 over 80.7 IP) is a clear step above Bieber (5.48 ERA, 1.66 WHIP in 42.7 IP), and the model's 61.4% on NYY is cl...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+100
CLECleveland Guardians-120
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+164
CHCChicago Cubs-194
Pick Probability59%CHC moneyline
STLMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+102
NYMNew York Mets-120
Pick Probability59%NYM moneyline
WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
NYMRobert StockConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
WSN / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Fading the model here: it takes NYM despite a worse record (53-69 vs 60-63) and worse offense (.736 vs .820 OPS), the exact offense_defense_mismatc...

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+116
SFGSan Francisco Giants-134
Pick Probability59%SFG moneyline
COLKyle FreelandProbable
SFGLanden RouppProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model 59.1% vs market 54.8% on SFG is a modest, defensible gap. Roupp (4.22 ERA, 1.29 WHIP) is the clear comparison over Freeland (6.63 ERA, 1.50 W...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-119
PITPittsburgh Pirates+102
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BOSJake BennettConfirmed
PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.6
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Boston has the better record (65-56), far better scoring (6.4 vs 3.9 RPG) and the better starter in Bennett (3.17 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) against Chandler'...

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