MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-05-26 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-26
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+115
DETDetroit Tigers-136
Pick Probability63%DET moneyline
LAAJack Kochanowicz
DETKeider Montero
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has DET 62.9% vs market 55.2% — a 7.7pp gap favoring the home side. But DET scores just 2.4 RPG (.582 OPS) while LAA scores 3.4 RPG (.860 OPS...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+111
CLECleveland Guardians-132
Pick Probability60%CLE moneyline
WSNCade Cavalli
CLEJoey Cantillo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CLE 60% vs market 56%, but WSN offense is demonstrably superior: 5.9 RPG / .820 OPS vs CLE 4.1 / .600. Both pitchers show identical 4.91...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+118
PITPittsburgh Pirates-139
Pick Probability59%CHC moneyline
CHCJordan Wicks
PITMitch Keller
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.3
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model favors CHC 58.6% vs market's 44.8% (implied from +119). Missing pitcher stats for both starters makes this thin—model leans on rolling offens...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+195
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-240
Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline
COLKyle Freeland
LADEric Lauer
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+105
TORToronto Blue Jays-125
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
MIASandy Alcantara
TORBraydon Fisher
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-05-26
Rank#1
TBR at BALTampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles
AI Analyst PickTBRstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelBAL / 54%Model pick probability

Model picks BAL 53.5% but market has TBR -110 (52.4%). Tampa Bay is 34-17 vs Baltimore 24-30, 5.7 RPG vs 4.4, .802 OPS vs .662. Both pitchers have tiny IP samples (5.1...

Rank#2
LAA at DETLos Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers
AI Analyst PickLAAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelDET / 63%Model pick probability

Model has DET 62.9% vs market 55.2% — a 7.7pp gap favoring the home side. But DET scores just 2.4 RPG (.582 OPS) while LAA scores 3.4 RPG (.860 OPS). Kochanowicz's 11....

Rank#3
WSN at CLEWashington Nationals at Cleveland Guardians
AI Analyst PickWSNlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCLE / 60%Model pick probability

Model has CLE 60% vs market 56%, but WSN offense is demonstrably superior: 5.9 RPG / .820 OPS vs CLE 4.1 / .600. Both pitchers show identical 4.91 ERA in tiny 3.2 IP s...

Rank#4
CHC at PITChicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
AI Analyst PickCHClean confidence
Agrees with modelCHC / 59%Model pick probability

Model favors CHC 58.6% vs market's 44.8% (implied from +119). Missing pitcher stats for both starters makes this thin—model leans on rolling offense where CHC's away x...

Rank#5
ARI at SFGArizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
AI Analyst PickARIlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelSFG / 54%Model pick probability

Model likes SFG at 53.6% vs market 48.8%, but ARI has better record (28-25 vs 22-32), better offense (5.7 RPG, .564 OPS vs 5.0 RPG, .388 OPS). Rodriguez's 0.00 ERA in...

Rank#6
HOU at TEXHouston Astros at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickTEXlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelHOU / 52%Model pick probability

Market favors TEX at 55.1% vs model's HOU at 52.2%. Both teams weak offenses (3.6-3.9 RPG) but Globe Life is a hitter's park (PF 1.04). Pitcher stats missing for both...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+115
DETDetroit Tigers-136
Pick Probability63%DET moneyline
LAAJack Kochanowicz
DETKeider Montero
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has DET 62.9% vs market 55.2% — a 7.7pp gap favoring the home side. But DET scores just 2.4 RPG (.582 OPS) while LAA scores 3.4 RPG (.860 OPS...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+111
CLECleveland Guardians-132
Pick Probability60%CLE moneyline
WSNCade Cavalli
CLEJoey Cantillo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CLE 60% vs market 56%, but WSN offense is demonstrably superior: 5.9 RPG / .820 OPS vs CLE 4.1 / .600. Both pitchers show identical 4.91...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+118
PITPittsburgh Pirates-139
Pick Probability59%CHC moneyline
CHCJordan Wicks
PITMitch Keller
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.3
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model favors CHC 58.6% vs market's 44.8% (implied from +119). Missing pitcher stats for both starters makes this thin—model leans on rolling offens...

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+195
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-240
Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline
COLKyle Freeland
LADEric Lauer
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+105
TORToronto Blue Jays-125
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
MIASandy Alcantara
TORBraydon Fisher
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-117
CHWChicago White Sox-102
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
MINJoe Ryan
CHWSean Burke
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
CHW / pass confidence / Rank 7

Model gives CHW 57.5% at home despite Joe Ryan's elite 0.00 ERA and 0.56 WHIP vs Burke's 6.75 ERA and 2.0 WHIP in limited IP. Market correctly favo...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-108
BOSBoston Red Sox-110
Pick Probability55%ATL moneyline
ATLSpencer Strider
BOSRanger Suarez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds-122
NYMNew York Mets+104
Pick Probability55%CIN moneyline
CINChase Burns
NYMDavid Peterson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CIN / pass confidence / Rank 8

Both starters lack meaningful stats: NYM is TBD fallback, CIN's Burns has null ERA/IP/K9. Model predicts 8.86 total vs market 7.0 (1.86 run gap) bu...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-200
KCRKansas City Royals+168
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
NYYCam Schlittler
KCRBailey Falter
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-104
OAKOakland Athletics-115
Pick Probability55%SEA moneyline
SEAEmerson Hancock
OAKGage Jump
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-112
BALBaltimore Orioles-105
Pick Probability54%BAL moneyline
TBRGriffin Jax
BALShane Baz
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks BAL 53.5% but market has TBR -110 (52.4%). Tampa Bay is 34-17 vs Baltimore 24-30, 5.7 RPG vs 4.4, .802 OPS vs .662. Both pitchers have...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-107
SDPSan Diego Padres-110
Pick Probability54%SDP moneyline
PHIAaron Nola
SDPRandy Vásquez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-105
SFGSan Francisco Giants-115
Pick Probability54%SFG moneyline
ARIEduardo Rodriguez
SFGTyler Mahle
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
ARI / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes SFG at 53.6% vs market 48.8%, but ARI has better record (28-25 vs 22-32), better offense (5.7 RPG, .564 OPS vs 5.0 RPG, .388 OPS). Rodr...

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+112
TEXTexas Rangers-132
Pick Probability52%HOU moneyline
HOUJason Alexander
TEXJack Leiter
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market favors TEX at 55.1% vs model's HOU at 52.2%. Both teams weak offenses (3.6-3.9 RPG) but Globe Life is a hitter's park (PF 1.04). Pitcher sta...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+179
MILMilwaukee Brewers-214
Pick Probability51%MIL moneyline
STLMichael McGreevy
MILKyle Harrison
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

sharps.gg