MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Model has KCR at 60.5% but market implies 48.1% — a 12.4pp gap flags structural disagreement. King's 3.41 ERA and 1.15 WHIP are superior to Lugo's...
Market has ATL at 65.3% vs model's 58.3%; I side with market given Sale's 2.20 ERA in 98 IP anchors a real comparison. Ace matchup flag applies but...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Hughes has 9.0 IP in one start; model cannot reliably project his performance at Coors. Market total 12.0 vs model 10.88 reflects Coors premium. Si...
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Market has ATL at 65.3% vs model's 58.3%; I side with market given Sale's 2.20 ERA in 98 IP anchors a real comparison. Ace matchup flag applies but model's 9.47 total...
Market and model converge on a near coin-flip (market 53.1% BOS, model 47.8%). Both starters have sub-3.20 ERAs with ace_matchup flag active. Model's 8.9 total sits ne...
Model slightly favors LAA (55.1%) vs market's DET comparison (51.2% implied). Melton's 1.82 ERA in 49 IP is elite but small sample. Detmers' 4.39 ERA and LAA's weak of...
Model favors MIN at 52% but market implies CHC 56%. CHC has better offense (5.9 RPG vs 5.0) and home field. Both pitchers are mediocre (ERA ~4.5). Wrigley slight pitch...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has KCR at 60.5% but market implies 48.1% — a 12.4pp gap flags structural disagreement. King's 3.41 ERA and 1.15 WHIP are superior to Lugo's...
Market has ATL at 65.3% vs model's 58.3%; I side with market given Sale's 2.20 ERA in 98 IP anchors a real comparison. Ace matchup flag applies but...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Hughes has 9.0 IP in one start; model cannot reliably project his performance at Coors. Market total 12.0 vs model 10.88 reflects Coors premium. Si...
Model slightly favors LAA (55.1%) vs market's DET comparison (51.2% implied). Melton's 1.82 ERA in 49 IP is elite but small sample. Detmers' 4.39 E...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Market and model converge on a near coin-flip (market 53.1% BOS, model 47.8%). Both starters have sub-3.20 ERAs with ace_matchup flag active. Model...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model favors MIN at 52% but market implies CHC 56%. CHC has better offense (5.9 RPG vs 5.0) and home field. Both pitchers are mediocre (ERA ~4.5)....
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.