MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model at 62.5% and market at 62.9% agree on NYM, so no comparison either way; the side is defensible on Thornton's 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 61.1...
Model (60.9%) and market (59.1%) essentially agree on Philadelphia, so there is no comparison to exploit. Wheeler's 10.63 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP is the...
Both starters under 3.50 ERA, with Glasnow's 0.81 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 in 51.7 IP the sharper profile. Model's 8.42 total sits 1.4 runs above the 7.0...
Market implies 68.5% on Seattle vs the model's 60.4%; here I side with the market. Springs' 6.37 ERA and 1.50 WHIP is a clear downgrade from Kirby'...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Both starters under 3.50 ERA, with Glasnow's 0.81 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 in 51.7 IP the sharper profile. Model's 8.42 total sits 1.4 runs above the 7.0 market line despite...
Market is pick'em but Tampa Bay carries an 84-57 record and the better arm: Rasmussen's 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 146.1 IP outclasses deGrom's 4.00 ERA, even with de...
Market implies 68.5% on Seattle vs the model's 60.4%; here I side with the market. Springs' 6.37 ERA and 1.50 WHIP is a clear downgrade from Kirby's 4.19, and T-Mobile...
Market at 62.9% for PIT looks better calibrated than the model's 53.4%. Ashcraft (3.59 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.2 K/9) is the clear comparison over Kikuchi (5.65 ERA, 1.49 WH...
Model's 8.55-run total sits over two runs above the 6.5 market line, which looks like a structural miss: Messick carries a 2.46 ERA and 1.02 WHIP, Detroit is scoring 3...
Market is essentially pick'em (home -108/away +100) despite NYY's 80-61 record, 5.2 RPG and .692 OPS versus San Diego's 3.3 RPG and .547 OPS. Taking the better offense...
Model has BAL at 54% against a market implying 42.3% — an 11-point gap I can't justify. Gray (2.82 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 8.0 K/9) is a clear class comparison over Bassitt (4...
Model at 62.5% and market at 62.9% agree on NYM, so no comparison either way; the side is defensible on Thornton's 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 61.1 IP. Molina has only...
Model (60.9%) and market (59.1%) essentially agree on Philadelphia, so there is no comparison to exploit. Wheeler's 10.63 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP is the best arm in the game...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model at 62.5% and market at 62.9% agree on NYM, so no comparison either way; the side is defensible on Thornton's 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 61.1...
Model (60.9%) and market (59.1%) essentially agree on Philadelphia, so there is no comparison to exploit. Wheeler's 10.63 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP is the...
Both starters under 3.50 ERA, with Glasnow's 0.81 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 in 51.7 IP the sharper profile. Model's 8.42 total sits 1.4 runs above the 7.0...
Market implies 68.5% on Seattle vs the model's 60.4%; here I side with the market. Springs' 6.37 ERA and 1.50 WHIP is a clear downgrade from Kirby'...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Market is pick'em but Tampa Bay carries an 84-57 record and the better arm: Rasmussen's 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 146.1 IP outclasses deGrom's 4....
Model's 8.55-run total sits over two runs above the 6.5 market line, which looks like a structural miss: Messick carries a 2.46 ERA and 1.02 WHIP,...
Model has BAL at 54% against a market implying 42.3% — an 11-point gap I can't justify. Gray (2.82 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 8.0 K/9) is a clear class compar...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Market at 62.9% for PIT looks better calibrated than the model's 53.4%. Ashcraft (3.59 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 9.2 K/9) is the clear comparison over Kikuch...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Market is essentially pick'em (home -108/away +100) despite NYY's 80-61 record, 5.2 RPG and .692 OPS versus San Diego's 3.3 RPG and .547 OPS. Takin...