MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-17 / 9 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-17
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+222
TBRTampa Bay Rays-275
Pick Probability71%TBR moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context1.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (70.6%) and market (71.0% implied) agree on Tampa Bay, so there's no comparison to exploit but the side is well-supported: Rasmussen's 2.81 E...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+125
HOUHouston Astros-149
Pick Probability62%HOU moneyline
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
HOUMiguel UllolaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-167
CINCincinnati Reds+139
Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline
LADJustin WrobleskiConfirmed
CINBrady SingerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.0
Projected Total10.0
Margin Context1.7
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-198
COLColorado Rockies+165
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
COLTanner GordonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total12.5
Margin Context1.6
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market is actually more bullish on SDP (63.5%) than the model (57.4%), and the underlying case is clear: King at 3.03 ERA/1.15 WHIP over 175 IP aga...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-106
LAALos Angeles Angels-110
Pick Probability54%LAA moneyline
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-17

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

9 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+222
TBRTampa Bay Rays-275
Pick Probability71%TBR moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context1.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (70.6%) and market (71.0% implied) agree on Tampa Bay, so there's no comparison to exploit but the side is well-supported: Rasmussen's 2.81 E...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+125
HOUHouston Astros-149
Pick Probability62%HOU moneyline
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
HOUMiguel UllolaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-167
CINCincinnati Reds+139
Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline
LADJustin WrobleskiConfirmed
CINBrady SingerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.0
Projected Total10.0
Margin Context1.7
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-198
COLColorado Rockies+165
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
COLTanner GordonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total12.5
Margin Context1.6
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market is actually more bullish on SDP (63.5%) than the model (57.4%), and the underlying case is clear: King at 3.03 ERA/1.15 WHIP over 175 IP aga...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-106
LAALos Angeles Angels-110
Pick Probability54%LAA moneyline
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-104
CHWChicago White Sox-116
Pick Probability54%DET moneyline
DETFramber ValdezConfirmed
CHWErick FeddeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
CHW / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Near pick'em market (-108/+100) and a true coin-flip matchup: Fedde 3.97 ERA/1.34 WHIP vs Valdez 4.01/1.36. Model's 53.9% on DET conflicts with Det...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-136
PITPittsburgh Pirates+115
Pick Probability54%MIL moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
PITWilber DotelConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+110
NYMNew York Mets-130
Pick Probability53%NYM moneyline
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
NYMNolan McLeanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.3
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-126
TEXTexas Rangers+107
Pick Probability52%TEX moneyline
BOSSonny GrayConfirmed
TEXTyler AlexanderConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.8
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 51.7% on TEX is ~9 points above market's 43% implied, and the structural read favors Boston: better record (82-70 vs 76-76), higher OPS (.7...

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