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Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2

1UB at BM

Bayern win leads the current board at 86%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

1UBUnion Berlin5%
DRAWDraw9%
BMBayern86%
Open matchupView top picks
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability86%
Closing odds-2000
Game time
Top pick of 20 on 2026-09-18Open matchup
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-18
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+195
CLECleveland Guardians-238
Pick Probability71%CLE moneyline
OAKMason BarnettConfirmed
CLEDaniel EspinoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context1.8
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

CLE is the clear side: 78-75 vs 61-92, 5.4 RPG against OAK's 3.0, and Barnett's 7.08 ERA/1.62 WHIP over 40.7 IP is a soft matchup. Model's 70.6% is...

Updated Edge and EV held
#2MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+170
SDPSan Diego Padres-205
Pick Probability71%SDP moneyline
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model at 70.6% on SDP vs market's 63.9% implied — directionally aligned, so take the side without stretching. Petco's 0.962 park factor plus two st...

Updated Edge and EV held
#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+259
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-322
Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline
SFGCesar PerdomoConfirmed
LADTyler GlasnowConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (70.6%) and market (72.7%) essentially agree on LAD, so no comparison to exploit but the side is sound: Glasnow's 0.97 WHIP and 11.24 K/9 aga...

Updated Edge and EV held
#4MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+115
TBRTampa Bay Rays-138
Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline
BOSRanger SuarezConfirmed
TBRIan SeymourConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#5MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+103
NYMNew York Mets-123
Pick Probability58%NYM moneyline
PHITim MayzaConfirmed
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

MarketAll marketsMoneyline
ProbabilityGame time
15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+195
CLECleveland Guardians-238
Pick Probability71%CLE moneyline
OAKMason BarnettConfirmed
CLEDaniel EspinoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context1.8
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

CLE is the clear side: 78-75 vs 61-92, 5.4 RPG against OAK's 3.0, and Barnett's 7.08 ERA/1.62 WHIP over 40.7 IP is a soft matchup. Model's 70.6% is...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+170
SDPSan Diego Padres-205
Pick Probability71%SDP moneyline
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model at 70.6% on SDP vs market's 63.9% implied — directionally aligned, so take the side without stretching. Petco's 0.962 park factor plus two st...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+259
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-322
Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline
SFGCesar PerdomoConfirmed
LADTyler GlasnowConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (70.6%) and market (72.7%) essentially agree on LAD, so no comparison to exploit but the side is sound: Glasnow's 0.97 WHIP and 11.24 K/9 aga...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+115
TBRTampa Bay Rays-138
Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline
BOSRanger SuarezConfirmed
TBRIan SeymourConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+103
NYMNew York Mets-123
Pick Probability58%NYM moneyline
PHITim MayzaConfirmed
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-186
COLColorado Rockies+156
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
SEABryan WooConfirmed
COLGabriel HughesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total11.5
Margin Context1.7
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

SEA is the clear side: .793 OPS and 5.7 RPG against COL's .531 OPS and 3.8 RPG, with Woo (3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 9.04 K/9) opposite a TBD arm proxied...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-139
TEXTexas Rangers+117
Pick Probability57%TOR moneyline
TORDylan CeaseConfirmed
TEXKumar RockerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context1.5
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-150
CINCincinnati Reds+125
Pick Probability56%CIN moneyline
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
CHC / standard confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has CIN at 55.5% vs market's 45.7% implied — a ~10-point gap with no clear justification, and it's backing the team with the worse record (71...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-149
BALBaltimore Orioles+123
Pick Probability56%BAL moneyline
MILDustin MayConfirmed
BALCade PovichConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 51.9% on BAL is hard to justify: Milwaukee is 95-58 with 7.4 RPG and a .972 OPS against Baltimore's 75-78 and .662 OPS, and the Orioles' st...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+110
CHWChicago White Sox-132
Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline
DETAndrew SearsConfirmed
CHWDavid SandlinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals-111
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-106
Pick Probability56%STL moneyline
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-105
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-114
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
NYYGerrit ColeConfirmed
ARIEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
NYY / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model (54.9% NYY) and market (-122, ~54.7%) agree, so the side is consensus: NYY's 5.4 RPG and .692 OPS clearly outclass Arizona's 4.5 RPG and .564...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+159
PITPittsburgh Pirates-190
Pick Probability54%KCR moneyline
KCRRandy DobnakConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
PIT / standard confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes KCR at 53.9% against a market implying 63.4% home, and it is picking the team with the worse record (67-86) and far worse offense (.518...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-120
HOUHouston Astros+100
Pick Probability53%HOU moneyline
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 9 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model leans HOU at 53.3% while market implies 47.8%, and the offense_defense_mismatch flag fits: ATL is 89-64 with a .789 OPS versus Houston's 77-7...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-114
LAALos Angeles Angels-105
Pick Probability51%LAA moneyline
MINConnor PrielippConfirmed
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 10 / Agrees with model

Model (50.9%) and market (46.9%) are close; this is near a coin flip. Minnesota's 3.0 RPG and .673 OPS is the weakest input here, which supports ta...

Updated Edge and EV held
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