MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-07-08 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-07-08
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+218
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-264
Pick Probability66%LAD moneyline
COLGabriel HughesConfirmed
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

LAD (60-33) hosting COL (38-55) with market at 68% vs model 66.5%. Hughes has 3.0 IP total this season—that's not a starter profile, expect bulk re...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+116
TEXTexas Rangers-139
Pick Probability61%TEX moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has TEX 60.7% vs market 58.1%, a modest 2.6pp comparison. LAA's 0.86 OPS significantly outpaces their 2.8 RPG—run suppression context or smal...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+116
DETDetroit Tigers-139
Pick Probability60%DET moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-108
CHWChicago White Sox-110
Pick Probability60%CHW moneyline
BOSJake BennettConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-150
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+125
Pick Probability57%MIL moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
STLMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-07-08
Rank#1
COL at LADColorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analyst PickLADlean confidence
Agrees with modelLAD / 66%Model pick probability

LAD (60-33) hosting COL (38-55) with market at 68% vs model 66.5%. Hughes has 3.0 IP total this season—that's not a starter profile, expect bulk reliever or opener. Sa...

Rank#2
LAA at TEXLos Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickLAAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelTEX / 61%Model pick probability

Model has TEX 60.7% vs market 58.1%, a modest 2.6pp comparison. LAA's 0.86 OPS significantly outpaces their 2.8 RPG—run suppression context or small-sample variance. M...

Rank#3
NYY at TBRNew York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analyst PickTBRlean confidence
Agrees with modelTBR / 56%Model pick probability

Model has TBR at 56% vs market's 55%, essentially aligned. The 9.08 total is 2+ runs above market's 7.0—a massive gap. McClanahan's 3.05 ERA in 80 IP and Cole's 4.01 E...

Rank#4
CHC at BALChicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles
AI Analyst PickCHClean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelBAL / 56%Model pick probability

Model has BAL 56% vs market 54%, marginal comparison. CHC offense (6.1 RPG, .694 OPS) far superior to BAL (3.6 RPG, .662 OPS). Kremer's 17.0 IP sample too small to tru...

Rank#5
SEA at MIASeattle Mariners at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelMIA / 50%Model pick probability

Model calls this a coinflip (50.05% MIA) but market leans SEA at 54.3% implied. Kirby's 104 IP sample is more reliable than Phillips' 69 IP. MIA's 7.1 RPG looks inflat...

Rank#6
TOR at SFGToronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants
AI Analyst PickTORlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelSFG / 53%Model pick probability

Model likes SFG 52.7% vs market's 47.7% for TOR — a 5-point gap favoring the worse team (38-53 vs 43-49). Cease's 2.79 ERA and 13.65 K/9 in 90 IP is elite; Webb at 3.6...

Rank#7
CLE at MINCleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins
AI Analyst PickMINlean confidence
Agrees with modelMIN / 50%Model pick probability

Model sees coin flip (50.0%), market leans MIN at 53.7%. Neither pitcher is sharp: Prielipp 4.96 ERA in 61.7 IP, Cecconi 4.44 ERA in 95.3 IP. Target Field runs slightl...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+218
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-264
Pick Probability66%LAD moneyline
COLGabriel HughesConfirmed
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

LAD (60-33) hosting COL (38-55) with market at 68% vs model 66.5%. Hughes has 3.0 IP total this season—that's not a starter profile, expect bulk re...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+116
TEXTexas Rangers-139
Pick Probability61%TEX moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has TEX 60.7% vs market 58.1%, a modest 2.6pp comparison. LAA's 0.86 OPS significantly outpaces their 2.8 RPG—run suppression context or smal...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+116
DETDetroit Tigers-139
Pick Probability60%DET moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-108
CHWChicago White Sox-110
Pick Probability60%CHW moneyline
BOSJake BennettConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-150
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+125
Pick Probability57%MIL moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
STLMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+108
BALBaltimore Orioles-128
Pick Probability56%BAL moneyline
CHCColin ReaConfirmed
BALDean KremerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has BAL 56% vs market 54%, marginal comparison. CHC offense (6.1 RPG, .694 OPS) far superior to BAL (3.6 RPG, .662 OPS). Kremer's 17.0 IP sam...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees+100
TBRTampa Bay Rays-120
Pick Probability56%TBR moneyline
NYYGerrit ColeConfirmed
TBRShane McClanahanConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model has TBR at 56% vs market's 55%, essentially aligned. The 9.08 total is 2+ runs above market's 7.0—a massive gap. McClanahan's 3.05 ERA in 80...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+162
NYMNew York Mets-196
Pick Probability56%NYM moneyline
KCRSteven CruzConfirmed
NYMChristian ScottConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+120
CINCincinnati Reds-142
Pick Probability56%CIN moneyline
PHIAlan RangelConfirmed
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CIN / pass confidence / Rank 8

Away pitcher is TBD/fallback (10 GS, 2.28 ERA is team average). Burns is legit (2.40 ERA, 10.69 K/9 in 97.7 IP) but no market context to gauge PHI'...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-128
SFGSan Francisco Giants+109
Pick Probability53%SFG moneyline
TORDylan CeaseConfirmed
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TOR / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes SFG 52.7% vs market's 47.7% for TOR — a 5-point gap favoring the worse team (38-53 vs 43-49). Cease's 2.79 ERA and 13.65 K/9 in 90 IP i...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+100
PITPittsburgh Pirates-120
Pick Probability53%PIT moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
PITJared JonesConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-128
MIAMiami Marlins+110
Pick Probability50%MIA moneyline
SEAGeorge KirbyConfirmed
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model calls this a coinflip (50.05% MIA) but market leans SEA at 54.3% implied. Kirby's 104 IP sample is more reliable than Phillips' 69 IP. MIA's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+111
WSNWashington Nationals-133
Pick Probability50%WSN moneyline
HOUSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed
WSNFoster GriffinConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+108
MINMinnesota Twins-128
Pick Probability50%MIN moneyline
CLESlade CecconiConfirmed
MINConnor PrielippConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
MIN / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model sees coin flip (50.0%), market leans MIN at 53.7%. Neither pitcher is sharp: Prielipp 4.96 ERA in 61.7 IP, Cecconi 4.44 ERA in 95.3 IP. Targe...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+120
SDPSan Diego Padres-144
Pick Probability50%SDP moneyline
ARIJose CabreraConfirmed
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.