MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-27 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-27
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+172
MILMilwaukee Brewers-206
Pick Probability61%MIL moneyline
STLAndre PallanteConfirmed
MILJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Misiorowski's 1.86 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 13.13 K/9 is a clear comparison over Pallante (3.61 ERA, 6.08 K/9), and STL's 3.1 runs per game is the weaker...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
NYYNew York Yankees-120
Pick Probability59%NYY moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
NYYElmer RodríguezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.3
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model's 59.2% on NYY is only modestly above the market's 55.6%, and the starter comparison belongs to Baz (4.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 179.2 IP) over Rodr...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+168
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-200
Pick Probability59%PHI moneyline
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total7.4
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+140
SEASeattle Mariners-166
Pick Probability59%SEA moneyline
LAAYusei KikuchiConfirmed
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.8
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-110
KCRKansas City Royals-110
Pick Probability58%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-27
Rank#1
STL at MILSt. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
AI Analyst PickMILstandard confidence
Agrees with modelMIL / 61%Model pick probability

Misiorowski's 1.86 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 13.13 K/9 is a clear comparison over Pallante (3.61 ERA, 6.08 K/9), and STL's 3.1 runs per game is the weaker offense. Market at...

Rank#2
ARI at SDPArizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
AI Analyst PickARIstandard confidence
Agrees with modelARI / 55%Model pick probability

Market (-140) and model (54.8%) agree on Arizona despite SDP's better record. Soroka's 3.31 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.89 K/9 clearly outclass Vasquez's 4.01 ERA, 1.30 WHIP...

Rank#3
LAD at SFGLos Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
AI Analyst PickLADlean confidence
Agrees with modelLAD / 55%Model pick probability

LAD (99-62, 4.7 RPG, .743 OPS) is clearly the better club against a Giants offense at 3.5 RPG, and Seymour's 4.70 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP over just 3 starts is soft. But...

Rank#4
BAL at NYYBaltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
AI Analyst PickNYYlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYY / 59%Model pick probability

Model's 59.2% on NYY is only modestly above the market's 55.6%, and the starter comparison belongs to Baz (4.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 179.2 IP) over Rodriguez (5.40 ERA, 1.5...

Rank#5
ATL at MIAAtlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickMIAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelATL / 55%Model pick probability

Model gives ATL 54.8% while the market prices MIA at -118 (53.1% home), a ~8-point gap the model justifies mostly on season win pct — a weak input in game 161 when a 9...

Rank#6
CHC at BOSChicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
AI Analyst PickCHClean confidence
Agrees with modelCHC / 55%Model pick probability

Boston's starter is TBD and the model substituted a 4.33 ERA / 1.37 WHIP fallback profile, so the pitching side is unresolved. Imanaga's 3.74 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 173....

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+172
MILMilwaukee Brewers-206
Pick Probability61%MIL moneyline
STLAndre PallanteConfirmed
MILJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Misiorowski's 1.86 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 13.13 K/9 is a clear comparison over Pallante (3.61 ERA, 6.08 K/9), and STL's 3.1 runs per game is the weaker...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
NYYNew York Yankees-120
Pick Probability59%NYY moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
NYYElmer RodríguezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.3
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model's 59.2% on NYY is only modestly above the market's 55.6%, and the starter comparison belongs to Baz (4.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 179.2 IP) over Rodr...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+168
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-200
Pick Probability59%PHI moneyline
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total7.4
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+140
SEASeattle Mariners-166
Pick Probability59%SEA moneyline
LAAYusei KikuchiConfirmed
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.8
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-110
KCRKansas City Royals-110
Pick Probability58%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-248
SFGSan Francisco Giants+200
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADJack DreyerConfirmed
SFGCarson SeymourConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

LAD (99-62, 4.7 RPG, .743 OPS) is clearly the better club against a Giants offense at 3.5 RPG, and Seymour's 4.70 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP over just 3...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-120
BOSBoston Red Sox+100
Pick Probability55%CHC moneyline
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
BOSTanner HouckConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Boston's starter is TBD and the model substituted a 4.33 ERA / 1.37 WHIP fallback profile, so the pitching side is unresolved. Imanaga's 3.74 ERA a...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-154
SDPSan Diego Padres+130
Pick Probability55%ARI moneyline
ARIMichael SorokaConfirmed
SDPRandy VásquezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
ARI / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market (-140) and model (54.8%) agree on Arizona despite SDP's better record. Soroka's 3.31 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.89 K/9 clearly outclass Vasquez's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+105
MIAMiami Marlins-124
Pick Probability55%ATL moneyline
ATLJR RitchieConfirmed
MIAJanson JunkConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIA / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model gives ATL 54.8% while the market prices MIA at -118 (53.1% home), a ~8-point gap the model justifies mostly on season win pct — a weak input...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+100
DETDetroit Tigers-118
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
PITJared JonesConfirmed
DETRiver RyanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.3
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-114
WSNWashington Nationals-105
Pick Probability53%WSN moneyline
NYMSean ManaeaConfirmed
WSNDJ HerzConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.3
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+140
TORToronto Blue Jays-169
Pick Probability53%TOR moneyline
CINBrandon WilliamsonConfirmed
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.4
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+135
CHWChicago White Sox-162
Pick Probability53%CHW moneyline
COLKyle FreelandConfirmed
CHWAnthony KayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-196
OAKOakland Athletics+162
Pick Probability52%HOU moneyline
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
OAKSeth JohnsonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total11.1
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers-118
MINMinnesota Twins-101
Pick Probability50%TEX moneyline
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
MINDean KremerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

sharps.gg