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Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

AllMLBNHLNFLSoccer
MarketAll marketsMoneyline
ProbabilityGame time
16 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+102
KCRKansas City Royals-120
Pick Probability71%LAA moneyline
LAAReid Detmers
KCRSeth Lugo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context2.5
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model likes LAA at 71% vs market 48%. Lugo's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is noise; Detmers' 17.36 K/9 in 4.7 IP equally suspect. LAA's .860 OPS vs KCR's .51...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+185
NYMNew York Mets-225
Pick Probability65%NYM moneyline
COLJose Quintana
NYMNolan McLean
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context1.8
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 64.8% vs market 66.3% on NYM - modest disagreement. COL's 4.1 RPG looks good but .531 OPS is bottom-tier; NYM's .736 OPS with 2.9 RPG scre...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-108
CINCincinnati Reds-110
Pick Probability64%CIN moneyline
DETKeider Montero
CINRhett Lowder
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.6
Model pick
CIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado RockiesN/A
NYMNew York MetsN/A
Pick Probability63%NYM moneyline
COLChase Dollander
NYMKodai Senga
Market OddsMarket odds unavailable
Market Total--
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+120
BALBaltimore Orioles-145
Pick Probability63%BAL moneyline
BOSConnelly Early
BALKyle Bradish
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has BAL 62.6% vs market 56.3% — a 6.3pp gap favoring the home side. But BOS has stronger offense (.736 OPS vs .662) despite worse record. Ear...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+150
ATLAtlanta Braves-180
Pick Probability60%ATL moneyline
PHIAaron Nola
ATLChris Sale
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+115
TORToronto Blue Jays-137
Pick Probability60%TOR moneyline
CLESlade Cecconi
TORPatrick Corbin
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+105
CHWChicago White Sox-126
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
WSNFoster Griffin
CHWBryan Hudson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHW / pass confidence / Rank 9

Hudson has 0.2 IP this season (13.50 ERA, 6.00 WHIP). Griffin has null stats across all metrics. Model is predicting on noise. Market has no strong...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+105
TEXTexas Rangers-125
Pick Probability57%OAK moneyline
OAKJ.T. Ginn
TEXKumar Rocker
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
OAK / pass confidence / Rank 10

Kumar Rocker has no resolved season stats (null IP/ERA/K9/WHIP) despite 10 starts marked as 'full' data quality—a data artifact. Ginn shows 0.00 ER...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+110
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-130
Pick Probability56%CHC moneyline
CHCShota Imanaga
LADJustin Wrobleski
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks CHC at 55.7% but market has LAD at 54.3%. Missing Wrobleski season stats creates uncertainty despite 10 starts. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-139
HOUHouston Astros+116
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
NYYLuis Gil
HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+123
TBRTampa Bay Rays-149
Pick Probability54%TBR moneyline
MINSimeon Woods Richardson
TBRGriffin Jax
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+106
MILMilwaukee Brewers-127
Pick Probability54%MIL moneyline
PITCarmen Mlodzinski
MILKyle Harrison
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model predicts 9.30 total vs market 7.5—a 1.8-run miss flags structural error. Harrison's missing IP/ERA suggests incomplete data; Mlodzinski worke...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-139
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+117
Pick Probability54%STL moneyline
SEAEmerson Hancock
STLMichael McGreevy
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
STL / pass confidence / Rank 8

Both pitchers show 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP (10 starts listed but only 6.0 IP each suggests massive data quality issue). Model sees STL 53.5%, market imp...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+114
SFGSan Francisco Giants-136
Pick Probability54%SFG moneyline
MIAMax Meyer
SFGLanden Roupp
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
SFG / pass confidence / Rank 7

Model total 9.18 vs market 7.5 is a 1.68-run gap at Oracle (PF 0.906). Meyer's 5.4 ERA in 5.0 IP is micro-sample noise; Roupp has no ERA/WHIP data...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-130
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+110
Pick Probability53%SDP moneyline
SDPMichael King
ARIRyne Nelson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total15.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
SDP / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model predicts 9.3 runs; market set at 15.0. Park factor 1.522 is extreme but doesn't justify a 5.7-run gap. King's 0.00 ERA in 5 IP is obviously u...

Updated Edge and EV held
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