Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+128
MIAMiami Marlins-150
Pick Probability63%MIA moneyline
LAAGeorge KlassenConfirmed
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
MIA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (62.7%) and market (60.8%) essentially agree on Miami, so no comparison dispute. Phillips at 3.53 ERA over 89.1 IP is a stable profile agains...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+226
BOSBoston Red Sox-275
Pick Probability63%BOS moneyline
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market implies 70.2% for BOS vs model 62.7%; the gap favors the market here. Boston at 6.6 RPG and .736 OPS against Perkins (6.72 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) i...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+180
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-213
Pick Probability60%PHI moneyline
TORJosé SorianoConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-179
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+150
Pick Probability58%LAD moneyline
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
ARIMerrill KellyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Model lands on LAD at 57.6% while the market prices them near 64% at -175, so there's no value on the favorite even if the side is right. Sasaki's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+104
WSNWashington Nationals-122
Pick Probability57%WSN moneyline
CINChase PettyConfirmed
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+110
NYYNew York Yankees-128
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
NYYMax FriedConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+150
MILMilwaukee Brewers-179
Pick Probability56%MIL moneyline
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
MILShane DrohanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+145
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-171
Pick Probability56%STL moneyline
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+127
TEXTexas Rangers-150
Pick Probability54%TEX moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
TEXNathan EovaldiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model has TEX at 53.6% vs market 58.1%, so no side comparison worth acting on; Eovaldi's 4.31 ERA against a .662-OPS Baltimore offense still tilts...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-145
SFGSan Francisco Giants+123
Pick Probability54%SFG moneyline
DETKeider MonteroConfirmed
SFGJT BrubakerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
SFG moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+115
PITPittsburgh Pirates-136
Pick Probability52%NYM moneyline
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
PITCarmen MlodzinskiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Market prices PIT at 55.6% despite a 3.2 RPG offense versus NYM's 5.0 RPG and .736 OPS; that gap is worth the +121, so I side lightly with the mode...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-147
CHWChicago White Sox+125
Pick Probability52%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
CHWNoah SchultzConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model and market both favor CLE, though market is firmer (-139, ~58% vs model 52.4%). The pitching gap drives it: Messick 2.57 ERA/1.06 WHIP over 1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-172
KCRKansas City Royals+146
Pick Probability52%CHC moneyline
CHCKevin GausmanConfirmed
KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-105
SDPSan Diego Padres-112
Pick Probability52%HOU moneyline
HOURonel BlancoConfirmed
SDPRobbie RayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
SDP / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model leans HOU at 52.4% against a market implying 53.3% home; I side with San Diego. Ray has 122.7 IP at a 3.08 ERA versus Blanco's 7.36 ERA over...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-102
SEASeattle Mariners-115
Pick Probability52%TBR moneyline
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 9.46 total is 2.5 runs above the 7.0 market line in a 0.855 park factor venue with Gilbert (3.46 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) opposing Rasmussen (2.91 E...

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