Ranked picks with source labels.

Model (64.2%) and market (60.8%) agree on Philadelphia, and the pitching comparison is real: Sánchez at 2.93 ERA / 9.95 K9 over 200 IP versus Peral...

Model's 61.2% on SEA is 8+ points above the market's 52.9% without a clear justification; Detmers (3.47 ERA, 10.26 K/9, 1.05 WHIP) is the better st...

Model (52.6%) sits under the market's 55.9% on NYY, so no comparison on the side; NYY's 5.4 RPG vs BAL's 3.4 RPG and .662 OPS still favors the home...

Market is a coin flip (-102/-108) and the model's 54.8% CHC comparison is small; Chicago's 88-71 record and Peterson's 8.23 K/9 give a marginal nod...