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MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Model likes LAA at 71% vs market 48%. Lugo's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is noise; Detmers' 17.36 K/9 in 4.7 IP equally suspect. LAA's .860 OPS vs KCR's .51...
Model at 64.8% vs market 66.3% on NYM - modest disagreement. COL's 4.1 RPG looks good but .531 OPS is bottom-tier; NYM's .736 OPS with 2.9 RPG scre...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has BAL 62.6% vs market 56.3% — a 6.3pp gap favoring the home side. But BOS has stronger offense (.736 OPS vs .662) despite worse record. Ear...
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Model likes LAA at 71% vs market 48%. Lugo's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is noise; Detmers' 17.36 K/9 in 4.7 IP equally suspect. LAA's .860 OPS vs KCR's .518 is real. Park runs...
Model has BAL 62.6% vs market 56.3% — a 6.3pp gap favoring the home side. But BOS has stronger offense (.736 OPS vs .662) despite worse record. Early's 1.69 ERA in 53...
Model at 64.8% vs market 66.3% on NYM - modest disagreement. COL's 4.1 RPG looks good but .531 OPS is bottom-tier; NYM's .736 OPS with 2.9 RPG screams poor sequencing...
Model picks CHC at 55.7% but market has LAD at 54.3%. Missing Wrobleski season stats creates uncertainty despite 10 starts. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5.0 IP is tiny sample...
Model predicts 9.30 total vs market 7.5—a 1.8-run miss flags structural error. Harrison's missing IP/ERA suggests incomplete data; Mlodzinski worked only 4.1 IP across...
Model predicts 9.3 runs; market set at 15.0. Park factor 1.522 is extreme but doesn't justify a 5.7-run gap. King's 0.00 ERA in 5 IP is obviously unsustainable but he'...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model likes LAA at 71% vs market 48%. Lugo's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is noise; Detmers' 17.36 K/9 in 4.7 IP equally suspect. LAA's .860 OPS vs KCR's .51...
Model at 64.8% vs market 66.3% on NYM - modest disagreement. COL's 4.1 RPG looks good but .531 OPS is bottom-tier; NYM's .736 OPS with 2.9 RPG scre...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has BAL 62.6% vs market 56.3% — a 6.3pp gap favoring the home side. But BOS has stronger offense (.736 OPS vs .662) despite worse record. Ear...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Hudson has 0.2 IP this season (13.50 ERA, 6.00 WHIP). Griffin has null stats across all metrics. Model is predicting on noise. Market has no strong...
Kumar Rocker has no resolved season stats (null IP/ERA/K9/WHIP) despite 10 starts marked as 'full' data quality—a data artifact. Ginn shows 0.00 ER...
Model picks CHC at 55.7% but market has LAD at 54.3%. Missing Wrobleski season stats creates uncertainty despite 10 starts. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 5...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model predicts 9.30 total vs market 7.5—a 1.8-run miss flags structural error. Harrison's missing IP/ERA suggests incomplete data; Mlodzinski worke...
Both pitchers show 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP (10 starts listed but only 6.0 IP each suggests massive data quality issue). Model sees STL 53.5%, market imp...
Model total 9.18 vs market 7.5 is a 1.68-run gap at Oracle (PF 0.906). Meyer's 5.4 ERA in 5.0 IP is micro-sample noise; Roupp has no ERA/WHIP data...
Model predicts 9.3 runs; market set at 15.0. Park factor 1.522 is extreme but doesn't justify a 5.7-run gap. King's 0.00 ERA in 5 IP is obviously u...