MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model has CLE 58.9%, market 57.5% — minimal comparison. Both pitchers lack resolved season stats (ERA, WHIP, K/9 all null), making pitcher evaluati...
Model SEA 58.6% vs market 55.4% is mild convergence. Hancock's 0.00 ERA in 6 IP is extreme small-sample noise, not predictive. Burke's 6.75 ERA in...
CHC 26-12 vs TEX 17-20, market and model converge on Cubs ~58-59%. Rocker's missing stats are a data gap but TEX's 2.7 RPG offense is league-worst....
Model and market converge on NYM slight favorite (model 58.6%, market 56.1%). Nelson's 7.71 ERA in 4.2 IP per start signals durability issues; NYM'...
Model has CIN 58.1%, market implies 55.6% — close alignment. HOU offense (.695 OPS, 4.1 RPG) superior to CIN (.629 OPS, 3.8 RPG) but Burrows' 7.94...
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Sheehan's 10.8 ERA over 3.1 IP is catastrophic small sample—likely opener or injury return. Sale's 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP equally noisy but ATL offense (5.3 RPG, .789 OPS)...
CHC 26-12 vs TEX 17-20, market and model converge on Cubs ~58-59%. Rocker's missing stats are a data gap but TEX's 2.7 RPG offense is league-worst. Model's 9.31 total...
Model's 9.13 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.63-run structural miss. SFG starter is TBD fallback, Oracle runs at 0.91 PF, and SFG offense is catastrophic (2.4 RPG, .388 OPS...
Model has NYY 53% but market shows MIL +115 (46% implied), a 7-point gap favoring the home side the model underrates. Fried's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is extreme small-sampl...
Model and market converge on NYM slight favorite (model 58.6%, market 56.1%). Nelson's 7.71 ERA in 4.2 IP per start signals durability issues; NYM's .736 OPS creates m...
Model SEA 58.6% vs market 55.4% is mild convergence. Hancock's 0.00 ERA in 6 IP is extreme small-sample noise, not predictive. Burke's 6.75 ERA in 4 IP equally meaning...
Model has TOR 57% vs market 60%, reasonable convergence. Cease's 20.25 K/9 over 5.1 IP is extreme small sample—likely regresses but still strong today. Detmers' 5.79 E...
Model has CIN 58.1%, market implies 55.6% — close alignment. HOU offense (.695 OPS, 4.1 RPG) superior to CIN (.629 OPS, 3.8 RPG) but Burrows' 7.94 ERA in 5.2 IP is bru...
Market has PHI at 66%, model has COL at 55%. Dollander has null stats (data_quality=full but no IP/ERA). Luzardo's 9.0 ERA in 6 IP is tiny sample. Market knows more he...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has CLE 58.9%, market 57.5% — minimal comparison. Both pitchers lack resolved season stats (ERA, WHIP, K/9 all null), making pitcher evaluati...
Model SEA 58.6% vs market 55.4% is mild convergence. Hancock's 0.00 ERA in 6 IP is extreme small-sample noise, not predictive. Burke's 6.75 ERA in...
CHC 26-12 vs TEX 17-20, market and model converge on Cubs ~58-59%. Rocker's missing stats are a data gap but TEX's 2.7 RPG offense is league-worst....
Model and market converge on NYM slight favorite (model 58.6%, market 56.1%). Nelson's 7.71 ERA in 4.2 IP per start signals durability issues; NYM'...
Model has CIN 58.1%, market implies 55.6% — close alignment. HOU offense (.695 OPS, 4.1 RPG) superior to CIN (.629 OPS, 3.8 RPG) but Burrows' 7.94...
Model and market converge at ~58% SDP, but McGreevy's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is pure noise over 10 starts. Canning's missing stats prevent proper evalu...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has TOR 57% vs market 60%, reasonable convergence. Cease's 20.25 K/9 over 5.1 IP is extreme small sample—likely regresses but still strong to...
Market has PHI at 66%, model has COL at 55%. Dollander has null stats (data_quality=full but no IP/ERA). Luzardo's 9.0 ERA in 6 IP is tiny sample....
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has NYY 53% but market shows MIL +115 (46% implied), a 7-point gap favoring the home side the model underrates. Fried's 0.00 ERA in 6.1 IP is...
Sheehan's 10.8 ERA over 3.1 IP is catastrophic small sample—likely opener or injury return. Sale's 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP equally noisy but ATL offense...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model's 9.13 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.63-run structural miss. SFG starter is TBD fallback, Oracle runs at 0.91 PF, and SFG offense is catastrophi...