MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-20 / 14 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-20
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+161
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-195
Pick Probability62%PHI moneyline
NYMFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model at 62.4% aligns with market's 63.6% on PHI, both correctly weighting Sánchez's elite 1.82 ERA over 99 IP. However, model projects 8.92 runs v...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+222
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278
Pick Probability62%LAD moneyline
BALTrevor RogersProbable
LADYoshinobu YamamotoProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market heavily favors LAD at 70.3% vs model's 62.4%. Yamamoto (2.52 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) vs Rogers (5.86 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) is a large pitching gap. Model'...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+135
OAKOakland Athletics-161
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaProbable
OAKJ.T. GinnProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+105
DETDetroit Tigers-122
Pick Probability57%DET moneyline
CHWSean NewcombConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+110
CHCChicago Cubs-132
Pick Probability57%CHC moneyline
TORPatrick CorbinConfirmed
CHCColin ReaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-20
Rank#1
PIT at COLPittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
AI Analyst PickPITstrong confidence
Agrees with modelPIT / 55%Model pick probability

Model has PIT 54.5%, market implies 65.4% — significant gap favoring Pirates. Skenes (2.85 ERA, 10.87 K/9 in 82 IP) is elite; Sugano (4.54 ERA, 5.03 K/9) is vulnerable...

Rank#2
BAL at LADBaltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analyst PickLADlean confidence
Agrees with modelLAD / 62%Model pick probability

Market heavily favors LAD at 70.3% vs model's 62.4%. Yamamoto (2.52 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) vs Rogers (5.86 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) is a large pitching gap. Model's 9.40 total vs mark...

Rank#3
SDP at TEXSan Diego Padres at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickSDPlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelTEX / 55%Model pick probability

Model predicts 9.28 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.78 run gap flags structural miss. TEX offense is league-worst at 3.0 RPG despite .698 OPS; SDP at 3.9 RPG with .547 OPS sugg...

Rank#4
NYM at PHINew York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analyst PickPHIlean confidence
Agrees with modelPHI / 62%Model pick probability

Model at 62.4% aligns with market's 63.6% on PHI, both correctly weighting Sánchez's elite 1.82 ERA over 99 IP. However, model projects 8.92 runs vs market 7.5 in a 1....

Rank#5
WSN at TBRWashington Nationals at Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analyst PickWSNlean confidence
Agrees with modelWSN / 57%Model pick probability

Model has WSN at 56.8% but market is near pick'em (52.9% TBR). Model sees +0.66 runs comparison from total vs market 8.0. WSN averaging 5.5 RPG with .820 OPS while TBR...

Rank#6
MIL at ATLMilwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves
AI Analyst PickMILlean confidence
Agrees with modelMIL / 51%Model pick probability

Model has MIL 51% vs market 48%, essentially a toss-up. Sale (2.30 ERA) and Harrison (2.47 ERA) are both elite, arguing under, but MIL's offense (5.4 RPG, .972 OPS) is...

Rank#7
BOS at SEABoston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelBOS / 51%Model pick probability

Model picks BOS at 51.1% but market favors SEA at 53.9%. T-Mobile's 0.855 park factor suppresses scoring. Both starters carry sub-4.00 ERAs over 75+ IP with solid peri...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

14 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+161
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-195
Pick Probability62%PHI moneyline
NYMFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model at 62.4% aligns with market's 63.6% on PHI, both correctly weighting Sánchez's elite 1.82 ERA over 99 IP. However, model projects 8.92 runs v...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+222
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278
Pick Probability62%LAD moneyline
BALTrevor RogersProbable
LADYoshinobu YamamotoProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market heavily favors LAD at 70.3% vs model's 62.4%. Yamamoto (2.52 ERA, 0.84 WHIP) vs Rogers (5.86 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) is a large pitching gap. Model'...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+135
OAKOakland Athletics-161
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaProbable
OAKJ.T. GinnProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+105
DETDetroit Tigers-122
Pick Probability57%DET moneyline
CHWSean NewcombConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+110
CHCChicago Cubs-132
Pick Probability57%CHC moneyline
TORPatrick CorbinConfirmed
CHCColin ReaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+130
HOUHouston Astros-155
Pick Probability57%HOU moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
HOUSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+104
TBRTampa Bay Rays-122
Pick Probability57%WSN moneyline
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
TBRIan SeymourConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has WSN at 56.8% but market is near pick'em (52.9% TBR). Model sees +0.66 runs comparison from total vs market 8.0. WSN averaging 5.5 RPG wit...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+165
NYYNew York Yankees-200
Pick Probability55%NYY moneyline
CINAndrew AbbottConfirmed
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+106
TEXTexas Rangers-127
Pick Probability55%TEX moneyline
SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
SDP / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model predicts 9.28 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.78 run gap flags structural miss. TEX offense is league-worst at 3.0 RPG despite .698 OPS; SDP at 3.9 RP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+120
MIAMiami Marlins-145
Pick Probability55%MIA moneyline
SFGTrevor McDonaldConfirmed
MIAMax MeyerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-225
COLColorado Rockies+184
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
PITPaul SkenesProbable
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.5
Projected Total10.0
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
PIT / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has PIT 54.5%, market implies 65.4% — significant gap favoring Pirates. Skenes (2.85 ERA, 10.87 K/9 in 82 IP) is elite; Sugano (4.54 ERA, 5.0...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+100
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-120
Pick Probability52%ARI moneyline
MINTaj BradleyProbable
ARIZac GallenProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers+116
ATLAtlanta Braves-140
Pick Probability51%MIL moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
ATLChris SaleConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model has MIL 51% vs market 48%, essentially a toss-up. Sale (2.30 ERA) and Harrison (2.47 ERA) are both elite, arguing under, but MIL's offense (5...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+106
SEASeattle Mariners-127
Pick Probability51%BOS moneyline
BOSConnelly EarlyProbable
SEAEmerson HancockProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks BOS at 51.1% but market favors SEA at 53.9%. T-Mobile's 0.855 park factor suppresses scoring. Both starters carry sub-4.00 ERAs over 75...