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MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Strongest current spots
Model has KCR at 62% vs market 54%. Both starters mediocre (Cameron 4.89 ERA, Márquez 5.18 ERA over 10 GS each). Market total 10.0 runs seems high...
Model has BOS 61% vs market 53% — an 8-point gap triggers the disagreement flag but Gray/McClanahan ace matchup (2.54/2.83 ERA, 95/86 IP) argues fo...
Model has PHI at 58.3% but market implies NYM at 54.3% — a 12.6pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. NYM's superior offense (5.1 RPG, .736 O...
Market implies 61.9% SEA, model has 58.3%—market is more confident than model. Gilbert (3.32 ERA) and Ray (3.38 ERA) qualify as ace matchup at T-Mo...
Model has LAD 57.6%, market implies 52.6% — modest comparison. Weathers 4.15 ERA at home in pitcher park vs Sheehan 4.81 ERA suggests tighter game...
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
WSN's Griffin (2.77 ERA, 1.02 WHIP in 110 IP) is a legitimate pitcher facing OAK's league-worst offense (3.5 RPG, .512 OPS). Model at 52.2% vs market 56.8% on WSN unde...
Model has KCR at 62% vs market 54%. Both starters mediocre (Cameron 4.89 ERA, Márquez 5.18 ERA over 10 GS each). Market total 10.0 runs seems high given pitcher qualit...
Model leans BAL 54.4%, market nearly even at 51.7% HOU. Extreme pitcher's park (PF 0.81) suppresses totals; model's 9.10 overshoots market 8.5 by 0.6 runs. Brown's 9.9...
Model sees 8.72 total vs market 7.0 — a 1.72-run gap flags structural miss. Skenes (3.57 ERA, 10.8 K/9, 1.02 WHIP) and Cantillo (3.56 ERA, 9.36 K/9) both pitching well...
Market implies 61.9% SEA, model has 58.3%—market is more confident than model. Gilbert (3.32 ERA) and Ray (3.38 ERA) qualify as ace matchup at T-Mobile (PF 0.855). Mod...
Model has LAD 57.6%, market implies 52.6% — modest comparison. Weathers 4.15 ERA at home in pitcher park vs Sheehan 4.81 ERA suggests tighter game than model's -1.24 m...
Model favors TOR 55.6% vs market 47.8%, an 8-point gap. CHW has better record (51-46 vs 46-52) and offense (4.8 vs 4.1 RPG). offense_defense_mismatch flag fires becaus...
Model total of 9.27 is 1.73 runs below market 11.0 at Coors (PF 1.47). Extreme park argues over but Greene's 16.55 K/9 in small 10.3 IP sample and Feltner's 4.55 ERA o...
Model has PHI at 58.3% but market implies NYM at 54.3% — a 12.6pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. NYM's superior offense (5.1 RPG, .736 OPS vs 3.1/.57) and M...
Market has CHC at 60.2% vs model's 51%, a 9-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Model predicts 9.12 total vs market 7.5—that 1.6-run miss is structural. Wrigley P...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has KCR at 62% vs market 54%. Both starters mediocre (Cameron 4.89 ERA, Márquez 5.18 ERA over 10 GS each). Market total 10.0 runs seems high...
Model has BOS 61% vs market 53% — an 8-point gap triggers the disagreement flag but Gray/McClanahan ace matchup (2.54/2.83 ERA, 95/86 IP) argues fo...
Model has PHI at 58.3% but market implies NYM at 54.3% — a 12.6pp gap triggering market_disagreement_large. NYM's superior offense (5.1 RPG, .736 O...
Market implies 61.9% SEA, model has 58.3%—market is more confident than model. Gilbert (3.32 ERA) and Ray (3.38 ERA) qualify as ace matchup at T-Mo...
Model has LAD 57.6%, market implies 52.6% — modest comparison. Weathers 4.15 ERA at home in pitcher park vs Sheehan 4.81 ERA suggests tighter game...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model favors TOR 55.6% vs market 47.8%, an 8-point gap. CHW has better record (51-46 vs 46-52) and offense (4.8 vs 4.1 RPG). offense_defense_mismat...
Model total of 9.27 is 1.73 runs below market 11.0 at Coors (PF 1.47). Extreme park argues over but Greene's 16.55 K/9 in small 10.3 IP sample and...
Model sees 8.72 total vs market 7.0 — a 1.72-run gap flags structural miss. Skenes (3.57 ERA, 10.8 K/9, 1.02 WHIP) and Cantillo (3.56 ERA, 9.36 K/9...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model leans BAL 54.4%, market nearly even at 51.7% HOU. Extreme pitcher's park (PF 0.81) suppresses totals; model's 9.10 overshoots market 8.5 by 0...
WSN's Griffin (2.77 ERA, 1.02 WHIP in 110 IP) is a legitimate pitcher facing OAK's league-worst offense (3.5 RPG, .512 OPS). Model at 52.2% vs mark...
Market has CHC at 60.2% vs model's 51%, a 9-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Model predicts 9.12 total vs market 7.5—that 1.6-run miss is s...