MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-06-20 / 28 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Lines Best price bovada fanduel draftkings betmgm betonlineag betrivers fanatics
CHW at DET Jun 20, 11:10 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastSean Newcomb CHW starter / away
Projected K 3.4 Actual 4 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 85% over
O 2.5 66% over
O 3.5 45% over
O 4.5 27% under
O 5.5 14% under
O 6.5 7% under
O 7.5 3% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Troy Melton DET starter / home
Projected K 4.1 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +130 fanduel / U -138 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 58% over
O 4.5 40% over
O 5.5 24% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
CIN at NYY Jun 20, 11:35 AM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastAndrew Abbott CIN starter / away
Projected K 4.6 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +114 betrivers / U -130 bovada 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 67% over
O 4.5 49% over
O 5.5 32% over
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 11% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Will Warren NYY starter / home
Projected K 5.6 Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -128 fanduel / U +128 betonlineag 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 79% over
O 4.5 64% over
O 5.5 48% over
O 6.5 33% over
O 7.5 21% over
O 8.5 12% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
TOR at CHC Jun 20, 12:20 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastPatrick Corbin TOR starter / away
Projected K 3.5 Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -106 draftkings / U -108 fanduel 7 books at this line
Model over 3.5 46%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 86% over
O 2.5 67% over
O 3.5 46% over
O 4.5 28% under
O 5.5 15% under
O 6.5 7% under
O 7.5 3% under
O 8.5 1% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Colin Rea CHC starter / home
Projected K 4.1 Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -121 betrivers / U +110 fanduel 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 58%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 76% over
O 3.5 58% under
O 4.5 39% under
O 5.5 23% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 6% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
SDP at TEX Jun 20, 2:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastWalker Buehler SDP starter / away
Projected K 4.1 Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +130 bovada / U -140 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 58% over
O 4.5 40% over
O 5.5 24% over
O 6.5 13% over
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
MacKenzie Gore TEX starter / home
Projected K 5.6 Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O +118 fanduel / U -125 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 6.5 34%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 80% over
O 4.5 65% over
O 5.5 49% over
O 6.5 34% under
O 7.5 21% under
O 8.5 13% under
O 9.5 7% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
WSN at TBR Jun 20, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastCade Cavalli WSN starter / away
Projected K 4.7 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +100 betrivers / U -105 bovada 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% under
O 2.5 83% under
O 3.5 67% under
O 4.5 49% under
O 5.5 33% under
O 6.5 20% under
O 7.5 11% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Ian Seymour TBR starter / home
Projected K 4.5 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -103 betonlineag / U -104 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 47%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 82% over
O 3.5 65% over
O 4.5 47% under
O 5.5 30% under
O 6.5 18% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
SFG at MIA Jun 20, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTrevor McDonald SFG starter / away
Projected K 4.6 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -103 betrivers / U -110 betmgm 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% under
O 2.5 83% under
O 3.5 67% under
O 4.5 49% under
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Max Meyer MIA starter / home
Projected K 5.9 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -139 betrivers / U +116 fanduel 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 92% over
O 3.5 82% over
O 4.5 69% over
O 5.5 53% over
O 6.5 38% over
O 7.5 25% under
O 8.5 15% under
O 9.5 9% under
O 10.5 5% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
MIL at ATL Jun 20, 2:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastKyle Harrison MIL starter / away
Projected K 5.8 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -125 fanatics / U +110 bovada 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 92% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 67% over
O 5.5 51% over
O 6.5 36% over
O 7.5 23% under
O 8.5 14% under
O 9.5 8% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Chris Sale ATL starter / home
Projected K 7.1 Actual 7 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.5 7.5 O +116 fanduel / U -124 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 7.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 97% over
O 3.5 91% over
O 4.5 82% over
O 5.5 70% over
O 6.5 56% over
O 7.5 42% under
O 8.5 30% under
O 9.5 20% under
O 10.5 12% under
O 11.5 7% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
NYM at PHI Jun 20, 5:15 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastFreddy Peralta NYM starter / away
Projected K 5.0 Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +115 bovada / U -135 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 38%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 86% under
O 3.5 72% under
O 4.5 55% under
O 5.5 38% under
O 6.5 24% under
O 7.5 14% under
O 8.5 8% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Cristopher Sánchez PHI starter / home
Projected K 7.1 Actual 5 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.5 7.5 O +120 fanduel / U -139 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 7.5 42%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 97% over
O 3.5 91% over
O 4.5 82% over
O 5.5 70% under
O 6.5 56% under
O 7.5 42% under
O 8.5 30% under
O 9.5 19% under
O 10.5 12% under
O 11.5 7% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
CLE at HOU Jun 20, 5:15 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastJoey Cantillo CLE starter / away
Projected K 4.5 Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -118 draftkings / U +100 bovada 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 46%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 81% over
O 3.5 65% over
O 4.5 46% over
O 5.5 30% over
O 6.5 17% over
O 7.5 9% over
O 8.5 5% over
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Spencer Arrighetti HOU starter / home
Projected K 5.3 Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -130 betonlineag / U +116 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 89% over
O 3.5 76% over
O 4.5 59% over
O 5.5 43% over
O 6.5 28% over
O 7.5 17% over
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
PIT at COL Jun 20, 7:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastPaul Skenes PIT starter / away
Projected K 6.3 Actual 8 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -128 fanduel / U +117 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 6.5 44%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98% over
O 2.5 94% over
O 3.5 86% over
O 4.5 74% over
O 5.5 59% over
O 6.5 44% over
O 7.5 30% over
O 8.5 20% under
O 9.5 12% under
O 10.5 7% under
O 11.5 4% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Tomoyuki Sugano COL starter / home
Projected K 3.7 Actual 5 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.5 2.5 O -123 betonlineag / U +115 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 2.5 71%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88% over
O 2.5 71% over
O 3.5 51% over
O 4.5 32% over
O 5.5 18% under
O 6.5 9% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
LAA at OAK Jun 20, 8:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastWalbert Urena LAA starter / away
Projected K 4.6 Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -145 betmgm / U +144 betonlineag 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 66%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 82% over
O 3.5 66% over
O 4.5 48% over
O 5.5 31% over
O 6.5 18% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
J.T. Ginn OAK starter / home
Projected K 5.3 Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +128 fanduel / U -140 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 76% over
O 4.5 59% over
O 5.5 43% under
O 6.5 28% under
O 7.5 17% under
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
BOS at SEA Jun 20, 8:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastConnelly Early BOS starter / away
Projected K 5.1 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -130 draftkings / U +115 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 87% over
O 3.5 73% over
O 4.5 57% over
O 5.5 40% over
O 6.5 26% over
O 7.5 15% under
O 8.5 8% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Emerson Hancock SEA starter / home
Projected K 4.8 Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -140 draftkings / U +118 fanduel 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 85% over
O 3.5 70% over
O 4.5 53% over
O 5.5 36% over
O 6.5 22% under
O 7.5 13% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
BAL at LAD Jun 20, 8:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTrevor Rogers BAL starter / away
Projected K 3.9 Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -155 betrivers / U +133 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 3.5 54%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% over
O 2.5 74% over
O 3.5 54% over
O 4.5 35% over
O 5.5 20% over
O 6.5 11% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD starter / home
Projected K 6.6 Actual 6 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.5 7.5 O +115 draftkings / U -135 betmgm 4 books at this line
Model over 7.5 34%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 95% over
O 3.5 88% over
O 4.5 77% over
O 5.5 63% over
O 6.5 48% under
O 7.5 34% under
O 8.5 23% under
O 9.5 14% under
O 10.5 8% under
O 11.5 5% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
MIN at ARI Jun 20, 8:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTaj Bradley MIN starter / away
Projected K 4.8 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -120 fanatics / U +122 fanduel 4 books at this line
Model over 4.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 84% over
O 3.5 69% over
O 4.5 51% under
O 5.5 34% under
O 6.5 21% under
O 7.5 12% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Zac Gallen ARI starter / home
Projected K 4.3 Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -150 fanatics / U +134 betonlineag 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 61%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 79% under
O 3.5 61% under
O 4.5 42% under
O 5.5 26% under
O 6.5 15% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.