MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-06-19 / 28 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Lines Best price bovada fanduel draftkings betmgm betonlineag betrivers fanatics
TOR at CHC Jun 19, 12:20 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastKevin Gausman TOR starter / away
Projected K 5.1 Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -115 fanatics / U +107 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 5.5 40%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 87% over
O 3.5 74% under
O 4.5 57% under
O 5.5 40% under
O 6.5 26% under
O 7.5 15% under
O 8.5 8% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Ben Brown CHC starter / home
Projected K 4.6 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -111 betonlineag / U +100 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 48%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 66% over
O 4.5 48% under
O 5.5 32% under
O 6.5 19% under
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
CHW at DET Jun 19, 4:40 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastBrandon Eisert CHW starter / away
Projected K 2.2 Actual 2 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 64% over
O 2.5 38% under
O 3.5 18% under
O 4.5 8% under
O 5.5 3% under
O 6.5 1% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Tarik Skubal DET starter / home
Projected K 6.9 Actual 8 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -106 betrivers / U +100 bovada 7 books at this line
Model over 6.5 53%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 96% over
O 3.5 90% over
O 4.5 80% over
O 5.5 67% over
O 6.5 53% over
O 7.5 39% over
O 8.5 26% under
O 9.5 17% under
O 10.5 10% under
O 11.5 6% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
CIN at NYY Jun 19, 5:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastRhett Lowder CIN starter / away
Projected K 3.7 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +130 betonlineag / U -150 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 31%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88% over
O 2.5 71% over
O 3.5 50% over
O 4.5 31% over
O 5.5 18% under
O 6.5 9% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Cam Schlittler NYY starter / home
Projected K 5.7 Actual 13 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -132 fanduel / U +117 betrivers 7 books at this line
Model over 6.5 35%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 66% over
O 5.5 50% over
O 6.5 35% over
O 7.5 22% over
O 8.5 13% over
O 9.5 7% over
O 10.5 4% over
O 11.5 2% over
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 13 strikeouts.
WSN at TBR Jun 19, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastPJ Poulin WSN starter / away
Projected K 2.1 Actual 1 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 61% under
O 2.5 34% under
O 3.5 16% under
O 4.5 6% under
O 5.5 2% under
O 6.5 1% under
O 7.5 0% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Griffin Jax TBR starter / home
Projected K 3.7 Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -115 betrivers / U +100 fanduel 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 31%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 87% over
O 2.5 70% over
O 3.5 49% over
O 4.5 31% over
O 5.5 17% under
O 6.5 8% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
SFG at MIA Jun 19, 5:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastLanden Roupp SFG starter / away
Projected K 5.3 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +120 bovada / U -129 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 5.5 43%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 89% over
O 3.5 76% over
O 4.5 60% over
O 5.5 43% over
O 6.5 28% over
O 7.5 17% under
O 8.5 10% under
O 9.5 5% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Lake Bachar MIA starter / home
Projected K 3.0 Actual 1 K
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 79% under
O 2.5 56% under
O 3.5 34% under
O 4.5 18% under
O 5.5 8% under
O 6.5 4% under
O 7.5 1% under
O 8.5 0% under
O 9.5 0% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
MIL at ATL Jun 19, 5:15 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastJacob Misiorowski MIL starter / away
Projected K 8.0 Actual 7 K / Under 8.5
Best price at 8.5 8.5 O +100 bovada / U -116 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 8.5 41%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 100% over
O 2.5 98% over
O 3.5 95% over
O 4.5 88% over
O 5.5 79% over
O 6.5 67% over
O 7.5 54% under
O 8.5 41% under
O 9.5 29% under
O 10.5 20% under
O 11.5 13% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Martín Pérez ATL starter / home
Projected K 4.4 Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -139 betrivers / U +132 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 3.5 63%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92% over
O 2.5 80% over
O 3.5 63% over
O 4.5 44% over
O 5.5 28% under
O 6.5 16% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
SDP at TEX Jun 19, 6:05 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastRandy Vásquez SDP starter / away
Projected K 3.9 Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -109 betrivers / U -105 betmgm 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 54%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% under
O 2.5 74% under
O 3.5 54% under
O 4.5 35% under
O 5.5 21% under
O 6.5 11% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Jacob deGrom TEX starter / home
Projected K 6.8 Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.5 6.5 O -102 fanduel / U -106 draftkings 7 books at this line
Model over 6.5 52%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99% over
O 2.5 96% over
O 3.5 90% over
O 4.5 80% over
O 5.5 66% over
O 6.5 52% over
O 7.5 38% over
O 8.5 26% over
O 9.5 16% under
O 10.5 10% under
O 11.5 6% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
CLE at HOU Jun 19, 6:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTanner Bibee CLE starter / away
Projected K 4.8 Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +105 betonlineag / U -109 betrivers 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 84% over
O 3.5 69% over
O 4.5 51% over
O 5.5 35% over
O 6.5 21% over
O 7.5 12% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Tatsuya Imai HOU starter / home
Projected K 4.8 Actual 11 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -150 fanduel / U +130 betonlineag 6 books at this line
Model over 4.5 51%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 84% over
O 3.5 69% over
O 4.5 51% over
O 5.5 34% over
O 6.5 21% over
O 7.5 12% over
O 8.5 6% over
O 9.5 3% over
O 10.5 1% over
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.
STL at KCR Jun 19, 6:15 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastMichael McGreevy STL starter / away
Projected K 3.6 Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O +110 betrivers / U -125 betmgm 7 books at this line
Model over 3.5 49%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 87% over
O 2.5 70% under
O 3.5 49% under
O 4.5 30% under
O 5.5 17% under
O 6.5 8% under
O 7.5 4% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Seth Lugo KCR starter / home
Projected K 3.9 Actual 0 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O +135 betmgm / U -160 draftkings 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 34%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89% under
O 2.5 73% under
O 3.5 53% under
O 4.5 34% under
O 5.5 20% under
O 6.5 10% under
O 7.5 5% under
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
PIT at COL Jun 19, 6:40 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastBubba Chandler PIT starter / away
Projected K 4.4 Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -125 draftkings / U +106 fanduel 7 books at this line
Model over 4.5 44%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% under
O 2.5 80% under
O 3.5 63% under
O 4.5 44% under
O 5.5 28% under
O 6.5 16% under
O 7.5 8% under
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Kyle Freeland COL starter / home
Projected K 4.5 Actual 8 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -150 fanduel / U +125 betrivers 5 books at this line
Model over 3.5 64%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93% over
O 2.5 81% over
O 3.5 64% over
O 4.5 46% over
O 5.5 29% over
O 6.5 17% over
O 7.5 9% over
O 8.5 4% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
LAA at OAK Jun 19, 7:40 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastJosé Soriano LAA starter / away
Projected K 5.1 Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +116 draftkings / U -148 draftkings 4 books at this line
Model over 5.5 41%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96% over
O 2.5 88% over
O 3.5 74% over
O 4.5 57% over
O 5.5 41% over
O 6.5 26% under
O 7.5 16% under
O 8.5 9% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Jeffrey Springs OAK starter / home
Projected K 4.8 Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.5 4.5 O -143 betonlineag / U +130 bovada 5 books at this line
Model over 4.5 52%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% over
O 2.5 85% over
O 3.5 69% over
O 4.5 52% under
O 5.5 35% under
O 6.5 22% under
O 7.5 12% under
O 8.5 6% under
O 9.5 3% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
MIN at ARI Jun 19, 7:45 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastConnor Prielipp MIN starter / away
Projected K 4.1 Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O -135 betonlineag / U +123 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 59%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91% over
O 2.5 77% over
O 3.5 59% over
O 4.5 40% under
O 5.5 24% under
O 6.5 13% under
O 7.5 7% under
O 8.5 3% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Michael Soroka ARI starter / home
Projected K 4.9 Actual 0 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +125 draftkings / U -144 fanduel 7 books at this line
Model over 5.5 38%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95% under
O 2.5 86% under
O 3.5 72% under
O 4.5 54% under
O 5.5 38% under
O 6.5 24% under
O 7.5 14% under
O 8.5 7% under
O 9.5 4% under
O 10.5 2% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
BOS at SEA Jun 19, 8:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastRanger Suarez BOS starter / away
Projected K 5.4 Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -150 bovada / U +128 betonlineag 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 45%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 90% over
O 3.5 78% over
O 4.5 62% over
O 5.5 45% under
O 6.5 31% under
O 7.5 19% under
O 8.5 11% under
O 9.5 6% under
O 10.5 3% under
O 11.5 1% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Bryce Miller SEA starter / home
Projected K 4.6 Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O +115 betrivers / U -125 betmgm 4 books at this line
Model over 5.5 31%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94% over
O 2.5 83% over
O 3.5 66% over
O 4.5 48% over
O 5.5 31% over
O 6.5 19% over
O 7.5 10% under
O 8.5 5% under
O 9.5 2% under
O 10.5 1% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
BAL at LAD Jun 19, 8:10 PM MDT / Final / frozen pregame forecastTrey Gibson BAL starter / away
Projected K 3.7 Actual 8 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.5 3.5 O +105 bovada / U -122 betrivers 6 books at this line
Model over 3.5 50%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 88% over
O 2.5 71% over
O 3.5 50% over
O 4.5 32% over
O 5.5 18% over
O 6.5 9% over
O 7.5 4% over
O 8.5 2% under
O 9.5 1% under
O 10.5 0% under
O 11.5 0% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Roki Sasaki LAD starter / home
Projected K 5.7 Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.5 5.5 O -143 betrivers / U +123 draftkings 6 books at this line
Model over 5.5 50%
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97% over
O 2.5 91% over
O 3.5 81% over
O 4.5 66% over
O 5.5 50% over
O 6.5 35% under
O 7.5 23% under
O 8.5 14% under
O 9.5 8% under
O 10.5 4% under
O 11.5 2% under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.