Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+220
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-270
Pick Probability68%LAD moneyline
PITJared JonesConfirmed
LADTarik SkubalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.3
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model 67.9% and market 69.7% converge on LAD, so no real comparison, just a defensible side. Skubal's 2.85 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.69 K/9 over 113.7...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+163
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-193
Pick Probability61%ARI moneyline
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
ARIMichael SorokaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-132
BALBaltimore Orioles+113
Pick Probability61%BAL moneyline
TBRShane McClanahanConfirmed
BALBrandon YoungConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 61% on BAL is 15 points above the market's 45.6% implied, and the mismatch flag fires: Tampa is 76-52 with a .802 OPS versus Baltimore's 62...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+138
MILMilwaukee Brewers-160
Pick Probability57%MIL moneyline
ATLMartín PérezConfirmed
MILLogan HendersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model at 56.9% is below the market's 62% on MIL, and here I side with the market: Milwaukee's 5.7 RPG and .972 OPS dwarf Atlanta's 2.8 RPG, and Hen...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+145
TEXTexas Rangers-172
Pick Probability56%TEX moneyline
LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed
TEXCody BradfordConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+120
SDPSan Diego Padres-141
Pick Probability56%SDP moneyline
MINDean KremerConfirmed
SDPCasey MizeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-139
COLColorado Rockies+119
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLETanner BibeeConfirmed
COLGabriel HughesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Bibee (4.01 ERA, 1.15 WHIP over 150.1 IP) is the clear pitching comparison over Hughes (6.69 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 37.2 IP), and market agrees at -138....

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+200
HOUHouston Astros-238
Pick Probability54%HOU moneyline
OAKJacob LopezConfirmed
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers-108
KCRKansas City Royals-110
Pick Probability54%KCR moneyline
DETDrew AndersonConfirmed
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.0
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+177
BOSBoston Red Sox-210
Pick Probability54%BOS moneyline
SFGBlade TidwellConfirmed
BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+140
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-164
Pick Probability53%STL moneyline
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
PHIAndrew PainterConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Painter's 6.43 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 85.1 IP is a genuine liability, yet PHI is priced -146; STL's 0.812 OPS and 5.6 RPG travel well into a 1.148 pa...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-105
CHWChicago White Sox-111
Pick Probability53%NYM moneyline
NYMChristian ScottConfirmed
CHWLuis CastilloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-110
NYYNew York Yankees-106
Pick Probability52%NYY moneyline
TORDylan CeaseConfirmed
NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+100
SEASeattle Mariners-118
Pick Probability52%SEA moneyline
CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed
SEAKade AndersonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model and market both land at 51.6% on SEA, so no comparison there. Peterson's 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over 112.1 IP is the one real lever for Seatt...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+160
MIAMiami Marlins-189
Pick Probability50%WSN moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
MIA / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN at 50.5% against a market implying 62.3% home, a large gap I can't justify. Perez (3.23 ERA, 9.76 K/9, 1.11 WHIP) is clearly ahead of...

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