Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+105
CHWChicago White Sox-123
Pick Probability63%CHW moneyline
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
CHWSean BurkeConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CHW / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

CHW is the better side on merit: Burke's 3.27 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 146 IP top Gore's 4.26/1.23, and Chicago's 4.4 RPG and .729 OPS beat Texas's 3...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-118
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+100
Pick Probability59%CHC moneyline
CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed
ARIEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-124
ATLAtlanta Braves+105
Pick Probability59%LAD moneyline
LADRoki SasakiConfirmed
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+102
SFGSan Francisco Giants-120
Pick Probability55%SFG moneyline
CINNick LodoloConfirmed
SFGLogan WebbConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
SFG / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model's 9.03-run total is 1.5+ above the 7.5 market line despite Oracle Park at 0.906 PF and both clubs averaging 3.6 runs per game; that's a struc...

MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+116
WSNWashington Nationals-139
Pick Probability55%WSN moneyline
COLTanner GordonConfirmed
WSNMatt WaldronConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+102
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability54%DET moneyline
TBRFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (54.4%) and market (52.4%) both tilt Detroit, driven by the pitching comparison: Melton's 1.70 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 90 IP against Peralta's...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-112
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-105
Pick Probability54%STL moneyline
BALKyle BradishConfirmed
STLMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+120
SDPSan Diego Padres-142
Pick Probability54%SDP moneyline
PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed
SDPRandy VásquezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+106
NYYNew York Yankees-124
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
NYYElmer RodríguezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+138
TORToronto Blue Jays-160
Pick Probability54%TOR moneyline
KCRRandy DobnakConfirmed
TORSpencer MilesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-156
NYMNew York Mets+133
Pick Probability54%NYM moneyline
MILDustin MayConfirmed
NYMRobert StockConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYM at 53.8% vs market's 40.8% implied — a 13-point gap with no supporting profile. Milwaukee is 81-51 with a .972 OPS and 5.5 RPG agains...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-132
MIAMiami Marlins+112
Pick Probability53%BOS moneyline
BOSSonny GrayConfirmed
MIARyan GustoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market (-130, ~55%) and model (53.5%) agree on Boston, and the starter gap supports it: Gray at 2.79 ERA / 1.16 WHIP over 138.7 IP versus Gusto at...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-138
SEASeattle Mariners+118
Pick Probability53%PHI moneyline
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
SEABryan WooConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model's 9.17-run total is 2.7 above the 6.5 market line, unjustifiable with T-Mobile's 0.855 park factor and Luzardo at 3.23 ERA, 11.19 K/9. Clear...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-138
LAALos Angeles Angels+120
Pick Probability51%LAA moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes LAA at 51% against a market implying 43.5%, but the mismatch flag is deserved: Cleveland has the better record (67-66 vs 52-81) and sco...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-136
OAKOakland Athletics+116
Pick Probability51%OAK moneyline
MINConnor PrielippConfirmed
OAKJ.T. GinnConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
OAK / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Starter gap favors Oakland: Ginn at 3.60 ERA/1.23 WHIP versus Prielipp at 5.57/1.40, yet the market prices OAK as a +121 underdog on record alone....

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