Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2
Augsburg at Leverkusen
Leverkusen win leads the current board at 70%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.
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Why this pick? Model probability is 70% for Leverkusen win.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Why this pick? Model probability is 62% for Lille win.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Why this pick? Model probability is 59% for Napoli win.
Edge and EV held for audit.
Model sees DET 58.6%, market implies 57.6% — tight agreement favoring Tigers. Skubal's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to trust but he's an ace. Mo...
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a r...
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Model sees DET 58.6%, market implies 57.6% — tight agreement favoring Tigers. Skubal's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to trust but he's an ace. Mo...
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a r...
Market and model converge on PIT ~58%. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is near-zero information; 67.5 ERA is a blowup inning, not a true talent signal. Rasmu...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Brandon Woodruff shows null season ERA/IP/K9/WHIP despite 10 starts logged—probable data pipeline issue masking true performance. Alcantara's 0.00...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Both starters showing 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP signals extreme small-sample noise. ATL's 6.6 RPG vs PHI's 3.6 RPG is decisive offensive comparison. Model...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Baltimore's Kremer has no resolved stats (fallback), which creates structural uncertainty the model cannot properly price. Williams' 5.4 ERA in onl...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Bradley's 4.1 IP across 10 starts signals opener usage, not a true starter. Abbott's 6.0 IP over 10 starts is similarly sparse. Model total of 9.24...
Market favors HOU at 56.3% vs model's STL 53.1%—an 8.8pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme suppression....
Model picks TEX at 52% but market has SEA at 55% implied. Kirby's 1.50 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in 6.0 IP are elite early indicators; Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA i...