MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model sees DET 58.6%, market implies 57.6% — tight agreement favoring Tigers. Skubal's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to trust but he's an ace. Mo...
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a r...
Market and model converge on PIT ~58%. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is near-zero information; 67.5 ERA is a blowup inning, not a true talent signal. Rasmu...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a real disaster setup f...
Model picks TEX at 52% but market has SEA at 55% implied. Kirby's 1.50 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in 6.0 IP are elite early indicators; Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA is a disaster. Model'...
Model sees DET 58.6%, market implies 57.6% — tight agreement favoring Tigers. Skubal's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to trust but he's an ace. Model's 9.41 total vs...
Market favors HOU at 56.3% vs model's STL 53.1%—an 8.8pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme suppression. Missing pitcher stat...
Market and model converge on PIT ~58%. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is near-zero information; 67.5 ERA is a blowup inning, not a true talent signal. Rasmussen's 1.8 ERA in 5....
Both starters showing 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP signals extreme small-sample noise. ATL's 6.6 RPG vs PHI's 3.6 RPG is decisive offensive comparison. Model total at 9.32 vs ma...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model sees DET 58.6%, market implies 57.6% — tight agreement favoring Tigers. Skubal's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is too small to trust but he's an ace. Mo...
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a r...
Market and model converge on PIT ~58%. Skenes' 0.2 IP sample is near-zero information; 67.5 ERA is a blowup inning, not a true talent signal. Rasmu...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Brandon Woodruff shows null season ERA/IP/K9/WHIP despite 10 starts logged—probable data pipeline issue masking true performance. Alcantara's 0.00...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Both starters showing 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP signals extreme small-sample noise. ATL's 6.6 RPG vs PHI's 3.6 RPG is decisive offensive comparison. Model...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Baltimore's Kremer has no resolved stats (fallback), which creates structural uncertainty the model cannot properly price. Williams' 5.4 ERA in onl...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Bradley's 4.1 IP across 10 starts signals opener usage, not a true starter. Abbott's 6.0 IP over 10 starts is similarly sparse. Model total of 9.24...
Market favors HOU at 56.3% vs model's STL 53.1%—an 8.8pp gap triggers the disagreement flag. Daikin Park's 0.81 run factor is extreme suppression....
Model picks TEX at 52% but market has SEA at 55% implied. Kirby's 1.50 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in 6.0 IP are elite early indicators; Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA i...