Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2

Aston Villa at Man City

Man City win leads the current board at 69%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

Aston VillaAston Villa13%
DRAWDraw18%
Man CityMan City69%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability69%
Market odds-238
Game time
Top pick of 34 on 2026-05-24Open matchup
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-24
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+166
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-200
Pick Probability64%ARI moneyline
COLJose Quintana
ARIRyne Nelson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.4
AI Analyst
ARI / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (64.1%) and market (63.9%) align on ARI. Nelson's 7.71 ERA in 4.2 IP is an extreme small sample; Quintana's 4.15 ERA in 4.1 IP is also noisy....

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+143
CHCChicago Cubs-170
Pick Probability60%CHC moneyline
HOUPeter Lambert
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 9

Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in only 5.0 IP (10 starts) is incoherent—either extreme injury/load management or data issue. Lambert has null stats despite 10...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-125
KCRKansas City Royals+105
Pick Probability59%SEA moneyline
SEABryan Woo
KCRSeth Lugo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+105
SFGSan Francisco Giants-124
Pick Probability59%CHW moneyline
CHWNoah Schultz
SFGRobbie Ray
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
CHW / pass confidence / Rank 10

Away pitcher Noah Schultz has no IP/ERA/K9/WHIP data despite 7 starts—likely bulk reliever or data error. Model calls CHW 58.6% but market has SFG...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+118
NYYNew York Yankees-139
Pick Probability58%NYY moneyline
TBRDrew Rasmussen
NYYRyan Weathers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors NYY 58% but market is only 55%, and TBR is superior on record (34-15 vs 30-22) and offense (6.5 RPG, .802 OPS vs 3.5 RPG, .692 OPS). R...

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+166
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-200
Pick Probability64%ARI moneyline
COLJose Quintana
ARIRyne Nelson
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.4
AI Analyst
ARI / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (64.1%) and market (63.9%) align on ARI. Nelson's 7.71 ERA in 4.2 IP is an extreme small sample; Quintana's 4.15 ERA in 4.1 IP is also noisy....

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+143
CHCChicago Cubs-170
Pick Probability60%CHC moneyline
HOUPeter Lambert
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 9

Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in only 5.0 IP (10 starts) is incoherent—either extreme injury/load management or data issue. Lambert has null stats despite 10...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-125
KCRKansas City Royals+105
Pick Probability59%SEA moneyline
SEABryan Woo
KCRSeth Lugo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.3
Model pick
SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+105
SFGSan Francisco Giants-124
Pick Probability59%CHW moneyline
CHWNoah Schultz
SFGRobbie Ray
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
CHW / pass confidence / Rank 10

Away pitcher Noah Schultz has no IP/ERA/K9/WHIP data despite 7 starts—likely bulk reliever or data error. Model calls CHW 58.6% but market has SFG...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays+118
NYYNew York Yankees-139
Pick Probability58%NYY moneyline
TBRDrew Rasmussen
NYYRyan Weathers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors NYY 58% but market is only 55%, and TBR is superior on record (34-15 vs 30-22) and offense (6.5 RPG, .802 OPS vs 3.5 RPG, .692 OPS). R...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates+146
TORToronto Blue Jays-175
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
PITMitch Keller
TORDylan Cease
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes TOR 58% vs market 60.5%, no comparison. Keller's 0.0 ERA in 6 IP (10 starts listed but only 6 IP = 0.6 IP/start average) is corrupted d...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+104
LAALos Angeles Angels-124
Pick Probability58%LAA moneyline
TEXMacKenzie Gore
LAAReid Detmers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-150
MILMilwaukee Brewers+128
Pick Probability55%LAD moneyline
LADYoshinobu Yamamoto
MILBrandon Sproat
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
LAD / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model leans LAD 55.2%, market stronger at 61.1% implied. Sproat's 21.0 ERA across 3.0 IP is microscopic sample noise, not signal. LAD offense at 6....

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+109
BALBaltimore Orioles-130
Pick Probability54%BAL moneyline
DETFramber Valdez
BALBrandon Young
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+110
MIAMiami Marlins-130
Pick Probability54%MIA moneyline
NYMChristian Scott
MIATyler Phillips
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
MIA / pass confidence / Rank 11

Phillips has 2.0 season IP across 8 starts—this is a data quality issue masking as 'full'. Scott's stats are entirely null. Model is picking the wo...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+138
ATLAtlanta Braves-164
Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline
WSNFoster Griffin
ATLMartín Pérez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+110
BALBaltimore Orioles-130
Pick Probability54%BAL moneyline
DETTroy Melton
BALTrevor Rogers
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
BAL / pass confidence / Rank 12

Brandon Young has 10 starts but null ERA/IP/WHIP—uninterpretable. Valdez 1.50 ERA in only 6.0 IP is a 1-start fragment, not actionable. Market data...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+145
BOSBoston Red Sox-175
Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline
MINBailey Ober
BOSSonny Gray
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has MIN at 52% but market strongly favors BOS at 58.5% implied. Both pitchers show identical 6.75 ERA in tiny 4.0 IP samples—noise, not signa...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+147
SDPSan Diego Padres-177
Pick Probability52%OAK moneyline
OAKLuis Medina
SDPMichael King
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
SDP / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picking OAK (52%) is badly wrong. Market has SDP at 61% implied, and reasonably: King's 10.8 K/9 with 0.00 ERA in 50 IP is elite, Petco suppr...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-116
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-103
Pick Probability52%CLE moneyline
CLEParker Messick
PHIAndrew Painter
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
CLE / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Model predicts CLE 52% vs market 54%, good convergence. But missing pitcher IP/ERA/K9/WHIP makes both sides opaque. Model total 9.27 vs market 7.5...

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