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COL at LAD
LAD moneyline leads the current board at 64%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.
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Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 78%. That 14-point gap flags structural risk. Pitcher stats are null for both Ohtani and Sugano despite 10...
Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is re...
Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Spri...
Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA i...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
MLB Board
Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context
Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 78%. That 14-point gap flags structural risk. Pitcher stats are null for both Ohtani and Sugano despite 10...
Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is re...
Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Spri...
Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA i...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model heavily favors KCR (57% vs market 42%) despite NYY having superior record (33-22 vs 22-33) and offense (4.5 RPG, .692 OPS vs 2.6 RPG, .518 OP...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model predicts 9.22 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.72-run gap flags structural miss. Gausman's 1.50 ERA/16.5 K/9 in 60 IP is elite; market implies 58% TOR...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has SFG 53.6% vs market 45.6%, a 8pp gap. ARI is 29-25 with 6.2 RPG vs SFG 22-33 at 5.3 RPG. Oracle Park (0.906 PF) suppresses scoring. Model...
Model and market align on PHI slight comparison (53% vs 61% implied). Sánchez's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a microscopic sample, not predictive. Buehler...
Model predicts 9.06 runs vs market 7.5 — a 1.56-run gap triggers total_far_from_market. DET offense is league-worst at 2.7 RPG, .582 OPS. Soriano's...