Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

MIA at PHI

PHI moneyline leads the current board at 68%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

MIAMiami Marlins32%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies68%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability68%
Closing odds-220
Game time
VenueCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PA
MIA starterCade Gibson
PHI starterZack Wheeler
Top pick of 15 on 2026-08-18Open matchup
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No active pickNo eligible games on this board date
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-18
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+185
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-220
Pick Probability68%PHI moneyline
MIACade GibsonConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.6
AI Analyst
PHI / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (67.9%) and market (67.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so no independent comparison — but Wheeler's 2.89 ERA, 10.69 K/9 and 1.00 WHIP over 115....

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+150
CHCChicago Cubs-178
Pick Probability61%CHC moneyline
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
CHCKevin GausmanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-202
COLColorado Rockies+172
Pick Probability60%LAD moneyline
LADEric LauerConfirmed
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.5
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-120
CINCincinnati Reds+102
Pick Probability57%STL moneyline
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
CINAndrew AbbottConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+115
TBRTampa Bay Rays-135
Pick Probability56%TBR moneyline
TORJosé SorianoConfirmed
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.9%) and market (54.8%) essentially agree on Tampa Bay, and TBR's 75-49 record with 5.6 RPG and .802 OPS backs it against a 61-65 Toronto...

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+185
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-220
Pick Probability68%PHI moneyline
MIACade GibsonConfirmed
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context1.6
AI Analyst
PHI / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model (67.9%) and market (67.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so no independent comparison — but Wheeler's 2.89 ERA, 10.69 K/9 and 1.00 WHIP over 115....

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+150
CHCChicago Cubs-178
Pick Probability61%CHC moneyline
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
CHCKevin GausmanConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-202
COLColorado Rockies+172
Pick Probability60%LAD moneyline
LADEric LauerConfirmed
COLRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context1.5
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-120
CINCincinnati Reds+102
Pick Probability57%STL moneyline
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
CINAndrew AbbottConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+115
TBRTampa Bay Rays-135
Pick Probability56%TBR moneyline
TORJosé SorianoConfirmed
TBRNick MartinezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.9%) and market (54.8%) essentially agree on Tampa Bay, and TBR's 75-49 record with 5.6 RPG and .802 OPS backs it against a 61-65 Toronto...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+133
PITPittsburgh Pirates-153
Pick Probability56%PIT moneyline
DETKeider MonteroConfirmed
PITBraxton AshcraftConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+125
TEXTexas Rangers-145
Pick Probability56%TEX moneyline
WSNJackson KentConfirmed
TEXCal QuantrillConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model (55.9%) sits slightly under market's implied 58.6% on TEX, so no price comparison. Quantrill's 70.7 IP at 3.44 ERA and 1.20 WHIP is the only...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+144
HOUHouston Astros-167
Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline
LAAGeorge KlassenConfirmed
HOUCristian JavierConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-147
MINMinnesota Twins+125
Pick Probability55%ATL moneyline
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks+145
BOSBoston Red Sox-171
Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline
ARIMerrill KellyConfirmed
BOSRanger SuarezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's ARI lean (54.4%) contradicts the market's 61.1% home implied and the underlying inputs: ARI carries a .564 OPS and worse record, and Kelly'...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-110
BALBaltimore Orioles-105
Pick Probability54%BAL moneyline
NYYCarlos RodónConfirmed
BALShane BazConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Rodón (3.30 ERA, 10.1 K/9, 1.25 WHIP) is the better arm over Baz (4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP), and NYY holds the record comparison at 69-55 with a .692 OP...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+169
CLECleveland Guardians-200
Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline
SFGCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed
CLEFoster GriffinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+138
KCRKansas City Royals-161
Pick Probability54%KCR moneyline
OAKBrady BassoConfirmed
KCRDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+148
MILMilwaukee Brewers-175
Pick Probability53%SEA moneyline
SEABryce MillerConfirmed
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 53% on SEA fights a market implying 59% MIL while picking the team with the worse record (59-66 vs 77-48) and worse OPS (.793 vs .972) — th...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres-118
NYMNew York Mets+100
Pick Probability52%NYM moneyline
SDPRobbie RayConfirmed
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
SDP / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors NYM (51.6%) over market (49.1%) while picking the worse-record, worse-offense side per the mismatch flag. SDP is 67-59 vs 57-69, and R...

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