MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-05-20 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-20
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+145
NYYNew York Yankees-175
Pick Probability63%NYY moneyline
TORTrey Yesavage
NYYCam Schlittler
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model and market align on NYY (62.6% vs 61.4% implied). TOR's 4.9 RPG offense is substantially better than NYY's 4.0, yet model favors home by 1+ r...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+121
MINMinnesota Twins-143
Pick Probability59%MIN moneyline
HOUMike Burrows
MINJoe Ryan
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers-120
COLColorado Rockies+102
Pick Probability59%TEX moneyline
TEXJack Leiter
COLKyle Freeland
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-188
MIAMiami Marlins+157
Pick Probability59%ATL moneyline
ATLChris Sale
MIAJanson Junk
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market implies ATL 64.9%, model has 58.6%. Sale's 0.00 ERA in 60 IP is elite (likely TJ recovery). Model projects 9.17 runs vs market 7.5—too high...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+130
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-152
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
CINAndrew Abbott
PHIAaron Nola
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Published Slate Notes

MLB Daily Picks — May 20, 2026

Daily Picks — May 20, 2026 1 higher-confidence spot · 4 underdog leans · 7 total notes High-Confidence moneyline notes TOR @ NYY — May 20, 2026 [HIGH CONFIDENCE] Our model: NYY -1.1 | Total 8.7 Vegas: NYY -1.5 | Total 8.0 Confidence: 62.6% (picks NYY) Why we like NYY: - NYY 16-6 at home this season...

Games reviewed cover the published slate notes. Ranked analyst picks are the matchups with public AI Analyst rankings, so the counts can differ.

9 games reviewed4 ranked analyst picks1 higher-confidence spot4 underdog leans
  • Top confidence matchupTOR @ NYY
View ranked picks

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-05-20

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+145
NYYNew York Yankees-175
Pick Probability63%NYY moneyline
TORTrey Yesavage
NYYCam Schlittler
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model and market align on NYY (62.6% vs 61.4% implied). TOR's 4.9 RPG offense is substantially better than NYY's 4.0, yet model favors home by 1+ r...

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+121
MINMinnesota Twins-143
Pick Probability59%MIN moneyline
HOUMike Burrows
MINJoe Ryan
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers-120
COLColorado Rockies+102
Pick Probability59%TEX moneyline
TEXJack Leiter
COLKyle Freeland
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context1.2
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-188
MIAMiami Marlins+157
Pick Probability59%ATL moneyline
ATLChris Sale
MIAJanson Junk
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market implies ATL 64.9%, model has 58.6%. Sale's 0.00 ERA in 60 IP is elite (likely TJ recovery). Model projects 9.17 runs vs market 7.5—too high...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+130
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-152
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
CINAndrew Abbott
PHIAaron Nola
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+122
SEASeattle Mariners-144
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
CHWSean Burke
SEAEmerson Hancock
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model and market converge exactly at 58% on SEA. Hancock's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is microscopic sample; Burke's 6.75 ERA in 4.0 IP equally thin. T-Mob...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-118
DETDetroit Tigers+100
Pick Probability58%DET moneyline
CLETanner Bibee
DETStarter TBD
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
DET / pass confidence / Rank 8

DET starter is TBD with fallback data. Model predicts DET at 57.5% while market implies CLE 53.8% — an 11-point gap favoring the home side with no...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers+100
CHCChicago Cubs-118
Pick Probability58%CHC moneyline
MILKyle Harrison
CHCEdward Cabrera
Market OddsPregame
Market Total6.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 6

Model at 57.5% vs market 51.9% on CHC is not enough comparison. MIL offense (4.5 RPG, .972 OPS) far superior to CHC (3.1 RPG, .694 OPS), yet model...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-196
SDPSan Diego Padres+163
Pick Probability58%SDP moneyline
LADShohei Ohtani
SDPRandy Vásquez
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has SDP 57.5% vs market's 39.3%—an 18-point gap. Ohtani's pitching stats are null (likely two-way player designation issue), making SP data u...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics-128
LAALos Angeles Angels+108
Pick Probability57%OAK moneyline
OAKAaron Civale
LAAJack Kochanowicz
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
TBRTampa Bay Rays-118
Pick Probability55%BAL moneyline
BALShane Baz
TBRSteven Matz
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
BAL / pass confidence / Rank 9

Home pitcher is TBD with fallback data (1.0 IP, 18.00 ERA placeholder). Away pitcher Baz has just 5.1 IP this season. Model picks BAL at 55.2% vs m...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-103
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-115
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
PITCarmen Mlodzinski
STLMichael McGreevy
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
PIT / pass confidence / Rank 5

McGreevy's 6.0 IP, 0.00 ERA is a 10-start mirage—unbelievable rate stats on minimal volume. Model picks PIT at 55.2% vs market 47.9%, likely overwe...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants-107
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-111
Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline
SFGTyler Mahle
ARIMerrill Kelly
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+100
KCRKansas City Royals-118
Pick Probability54%KCR moneyline
BOSConnelly Early
KCRMichael Wacha
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
KCR / pass confidence / Rank 7

Wacha's 6.0 IP and 0.0 ERA across 10 starts is clearly incomplete data (< 1 IP/start average), making his quality unknowable. Early's 5.1 IP over 1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-125
WSNWashington Nationals+105
Pick Probability53%NYM moneyline
NYMZach Thornton
WSNZack Littell
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.