MLB player props
Pitcher prop forecasts. Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
MLB props / 2026-07-31 / 29 starters Market Strikeouts Hits
Will Warren NYY starter / away
Projected K 4.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90%
O 2.5 75%
O 3.5 55%
O 4.5 37%
O 5.5 22%
O 6.5 11%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shota Imanaga CHC starter / home
Projected K 5.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 92%
O 3.5 81%
O 4.5 67%
O 5.5 51%
O 6.5 36%
O 7.5 23%
O 8.5 14%
O 9.5 8%
O 10.5 4%
O 11.5 2%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Paul Skenes PIT starter / away
Projected K 7.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 96%
O 3.5 91%
O 4.5 81%
O 5.5 68%
O 6.5 54%
O 7.5 40%
O 8.5 28%
O 9.5 18%
O 10.5 11%
O 11.5 6%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Hunter Greene CIN starter / home
Projected K 6.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 99%
O 2.5 96%
O 3.5 90%
O 4.5 80%
O 5.5 67%
O 6.5 53%
O 7.5 39%
O 8.5 27%
O 9.5 17%
O 10.5 10%
O 11.5 6%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Brandon Young BAL starter / home
Projected K 5.5
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 90%
O 3.5 79%
O 4.5 63%
O 5.5 47%
O 6.5 32%
O 7.5 20%
O 8.5 12%
O 9.5 6%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kyle Leahy STL starter / away
Projected K 3.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89%
O 2.5 74%
O 3.5 55%
O 4.5 36%
O 5.5 21%
O 6.5 11%
O 7.5 5%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Dylan Cease TOR starter / home
Projected K 8.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 100%
O 2.5 99%
O 3.5 96%
O 4.5 91%
O 5.5 82%
O 6.5 71%
O 7.5 59%
O 8.5 46%
O 9.5 34%
O 10.5 24%
O 11.5 16%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Erick Fedde CHW starter / away
Projected K 3.3
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 83%
O 2.5 63%
O 3.5 41%
O 4.5 24%
O 5.5 12%
O 6.5 5%
O 7.5 2%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Nick Martinez TBR starter / home
Projected K 4.2
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92%
O 2.5 78%
O 3.5 60%
O 4.5 41%
O 5.5 26%
O 6.5 14%
O 7.5 7%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Janson Junk MIA starter / away
Projected K 3.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 89%
O 2.5 73%
O 3.5 53%
O 4.5 34%
O 5.5 20%
O 6.5 10%
O 7.5 5%
O 8.5 2%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Freddy Peralta NYM starter / home
Projected K 5.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 86%
O 3.5 72%
O 4.5 55%
O 5.5 38%
O 6.5 24%
O 7.5 14%
O 8.5 7%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Mitch Bratt ARI starter / away
Projected K 3.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 84%
O 2.5 65%
O 3.5 44%
O 4.5 26%
O 5.5 13%
O 6.5 6%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tanner Bibee CLE starter / home
Projected K 4.3
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92%
O 2.5 79%
O 3.5 61%
O 4.5 42%
O 5.5 26%
O 6.5 15%
O 7.5 8%
O 8.5 4%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Foster Griffin WSN starter / away
Projected K 5.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 90%
O 3.5 78%
O 4.5 62%
O 5.5 45%
O 6.5 31%
O 7.5 19%
O 8.5 11%
O 9.5 6%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Bryce Elder ATL starter / home
Projected K 4.3
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92%
O 2.5 79%
O 3.5 61%
O 4.5 43%
O 5.5 27%
O 6.5 15%
O 7.5 8%
O 8.5 4%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Nathan Eovaldi TEX starter / away
Projected K 6.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98%
O 2.5 94%
O 3.5 87%
O 4.5 75%
O 5.5 60%
O 6.5 45%
O 7.5 31%
O 8.5 20%
O 9.5 12%
O 10.5 7%
O 11.5 4%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Hunter Brown HOU starter / home
Projected K 6.1
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 98%
O 2.5 93%
O 3.5 84%
O 4.5 71%
O 5.5 56%
O 6.5 40%
O 7.5 27%
O 8.5 17%
O 9.5 10%
O 10.5 5%
O 11.5 3%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Michael Wacha KCR starter / away
Projected K 4.3
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 92%
O 2.5 79%
O 3.5 62%
O 4.5 43%
O 5.5 27%
O 6.5 15%
O 7.5 8%
O 8.5 4%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tomoyuki Sugano COL starter / home
Projected K 3.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 87%
O 2.5 69%
O 3.5 48%
O 4.5 30%
O 5.5 16%
O 6.5 8%
O 7.5 4%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane Drohan MIL starter / away
Projected K 5.2
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 88%
O 3.5 75%
O 4.5 59%
O 5.5 42%
O 6.5 28%
O 7.5 17%
O 8.5 9%
O 9.5 5%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ryan Johnson LAA starter / home
Projected K 4.4
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 93%
O 2.5 80%
O 3.5 63%
O 4.5 44%
O 5.5 28%
O 6.5 16%
O 7.5 8%
O 8.5 4%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Casey Mize DET starter / away
Projected K 4.9
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 95%
O 2.5 85%
O 3.5 71%
O 4.5 53%
O 5.5 36%
O 6.5 23%
O 7.5 13%
O 8.5 7%
O 9.5 3%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jeffrey Springs OAK starter / home
Projected K 4.1
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 91%
O 2.5 76%
O 3.5 57%
O 4.5 38%
O 5.5 23%
O 6.5 13%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Carson Whisenhunt SFG starter / away
Projected K 4.0
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 90%
O 2.5 75%
O 3.5 56%
O 4.5 37%
O 5.5 22%
O 6.5 12%
O 7.5 6%
O 8.5 3%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Bradgley Rodriguez SDP starter / home
Projected K 1.8
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 54%
O 2.5 27%
O 3.5 11%
O 4.5 4%
O 5.5 1%
O 6.5 0%
O 7.5 0%
O 8.5 0%
O 9.5 0%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Zebby Matthews MIN starter / away
Projected K 4.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 94%
O 2.5 83%
O 3.5 67%
O 4.5 49%
O 5.5 32%
O 6.5 19%
O 7.5 11%
O 8.5 5%
O 9.5 2%
O 10.5 1%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Bryce Miller SEA starter / home
Projected K 5.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 97%
O 2.5 91%
O 3.5 79%
O 4.5 64%
O 5.5 48%
O 6.5 33%
O 7.5 21%
O 8.5 12%
O 9.5 7%
O 10.5 3%
O 11.5 2%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ranger Suarez BOS starter / away
Projected K 5.1
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 96%
O 2.5 87%
O 3.5 74%
O 4.5 57%
O 5.5 40%
O 6.5 26%
O 7.5 15%
O 8.5 8%
O 9.5 4%
O 10.5 2%
O 11.5 1%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Edgardo Henriquez LAD starter / home Thin data
Projected K 3.6
Market line N/A No two-sided pregame line
Model over line N/A
Full strikeout line grid O 1.5 86%
O 2.5 68%
O 3.5 47%
O 4.5 29%
O 5.5 16%
O 6.5 8%
O 7.5 3%
O 8.5 1%
O 9.5 1%
O 10.5 0%
O 11.5 0%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.