Top Spotlight / NFL / Moneyline

MIA at SF

SF ML leads the current board at 86%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

MIAMiami Dolphins14%

SFSan Francisco 49ers86%

Open matchup View top picks

Spotlight game / By the numbers

Pick probability86%

Market odds · pregame-950

Game timeSep 20, 2:25 PM MDT

VenueLevi's Stadium

Top pick of 63 on 2026-09-20Open matchup

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Strongest Today

SF MLNFL 86%

Latest Model Update

Sep 20, 9:00 AM MDT3 live sport summaries

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NHL: no slate found for 2026-09-20
Soccer: 5 with odds still unavailable
SOCCER: degraded

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Public board.All available feeds are combined below. Probability and odds are shown side by side; audit-held fields stay out of the board.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-20

#1NFLnflMoneyline

MIAMiami Dolphins

SFSan Francisco 49ers

Moneyline pickSF ML

Pick Probability86%

Market odds · pregame-950

Sep 20, 2:25 PM MDTL1_prod_v1

Updated Sep 16, 6:00 AM MDT

Why this pick? Model probability is 86% for SF ML.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#2NFLnflMoneyline

SEASeattle Seahawks

ARIArizona Cardinals

Moneyline pickSEA ML

Pick Probability85%

Market odds · pregame-205

Sep 20, 2:25 PM MDTL1_prod_v1

Updated Sep 16, 6:00 AM MDT

Why this pick? Model probability is 85% for SEA ML.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#3NFLnflMoneyline

NONew Orleans Saints

BALBaltimore Ravens

Moneyline pickBAL ML

Pick Probability82%

Market odds · pregame-410

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTL1_prod_v1

Updated Sep 16, 6:00 AM MDT

Why this pick? Model probability is 82% for BAL ML.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#4MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+220

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-272

Pick Probability74%LAD moneyline

SFGMatt WilkinsonProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.3

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context2.2

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (73.9%) and market (70.5% implied) essentially agree on LAD, and the profile supports it: 95-60, 6.3 RPG against a 64-91 Giants club at .388...

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Sep 20, 2:25 PM MDTNFL / nfl

MIAMiami Dolphins

SFSan Francisco 49ers

Pick Probability86%

Market odds · pregame-950

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 2:25 PM MDTNFL / nfl

SEASeattle Seahawks

ARIArizona Cardinals

MoneylineSEA ML

Pick Probability85%

Market odds · pregame-205

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

NONew Orleans Saints

BALBaltimore Ravens

MoneylineBAL ML

Pick Probability82%

Market odds · pregame-410

scheduledEV held

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+220

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-272

Pick Probability74%LAD moneyline

SFGMatt WilkinsonProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.3

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context2.2

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (73.9%) and market (70.5% implied) essentially agree on LAD, and the profile supports it: 95-60, 6.3 RPG against a 64-91 Giants club at .388...

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

TENTennessee Titans

MoneylinePHI ML

Pick Probability71%

Market odds · pregame-310

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

CLECleveland Browns

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

Pick Probability71%

Market odds · pregame-395

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

GBGreen Bay Packers

NYJNew York Jets

Pick Probability70%

Market odds · pregame-205

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 2:05 PM MDTNFL / nfl

LVLas Vegas Raiders

LACLos Angeles Chargers

MoneylineLAC ML

Pick Probability69%

Market odds · pregame-298

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 6:20 PM MDTNFL / nfl

INDIndianapolis Colts

KCKansas City Chiefs

Pick Probability64%

Market odds · pregame-285

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

PITPittsburgh Steelers

NENew England Patriots

Pick Probability63%

Market odds · pregame-218

scheduledEV held

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

BOSBoston Red Sox+128

TBRTampa Bay Rays-152

Pick Probability61%TBR moneyline

BOSPatrick SandovalProbable

TBRGriffin JaxProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.1

Margin Context0.9

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

OAKOakland Athletics+200

CLECleveland Guardians-244

Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline

OAKJack PerkinsProbable

CLEGavin WilliamsProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total7.0

Projected Total8.0

Margin Context0.9

CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

MIAMiami Marlins+120

SDPSan Diego Padres-143

Pick Probability61%SDP moneyline

MIASandy AlcantaraProbable

SDPWalker BuehlerProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context0.9

SDP / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model's 9.54 total sits 1.5+ above the market's 8.0 at Petco (PF 0.962), with Alcantara at 3.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 206 IP; that gap looks like...

Sep 20, 2:05 PM MDTNFL / nfl

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

DENDenver Broncos

MoneylineJAX ML

Pick Probability60%

Market odds · pregame+124

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

CARCarolina Panthers

ATLAtlanta Falcons

MoneylineATL ML

Pick Probability60%

Market odds · pregame+114

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

MINMinnesota Vikings

CHIChicago Bears

MoneylineCHI ML

Pick Probability59%

Market odds · pregame-225

scheduledEV held

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:35 AM MDT

KCRKansas City Royals-103

PITPittsburgh Pirates-117

Pick Probability58%PIT moneyline

KCRMichael WachaProbable

PITLake BacharProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.7

PIT / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market prices PIT at +100 (48.8%) despite an 11-game record comparison and a large offensive gap (.710 OPS vs .518, 4.1 vs 3.2 RPG); model's 57.8%...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:15 PM MDT

WSNWashington Nationals+110

STLSt. Louis Cardinals-132

Pick Probability58%STL moneyline

WSNJake IrvinProbable

STLQuinn MathewsProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context0.5

STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 1:10 PM MDT

SEASeattle Mariners-160

COLColorado Rockies+135

Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline

SEAKade AndersonProbable

COLTomoyuki SuganoProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total10.5

Projected Total12.0

Margin Context1.5

SEA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market has SEA around -154 (~59% no-vig) versus the model's 57.4%, so both sides agree; Seattle's .793 OPS and 5.8 RPG against Colorado's .531 OPS...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

NYYNew York Yankees-102

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-117

Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline

NYYWill WarrenProbable

ARICorbin BurnesProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context0.7

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:10 PM MDT

ATLAtlanta Braves+122

HOUHouston Astros-145

Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline

ATLMartín PérezProbable

HOUHunter BrownProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.6

Margin Context0.3

HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:10 PM MDT

DETDetroit Tigers+100

CHWChicago White Sox-120

Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline

DETTroy MeltonProbable

CHWDavis MartinProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context0.3

CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Sep 20, 2:25 PM MDTNFL / nfl

WASWashington Commanders

DALDallas Cowboys

MoneylineDAL ML

Pick Probability55%

Market odds · pregame-218

scheduledEV held

Sep 20, 11:00 AM MDTNFL / nfl

CINCincinnati Bengals

HOUHouston Texans

MoneylineHOU ML

Pick Probability55%

Market odds · pregame-148

scheduledEV held

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:10 AM MDT

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-160

NYMNew York Mets+135

Pick Probability54%PHI moneyline

PHICristopher SánchezProbable

NYMJonah TongProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.5

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

CHCChicago Cubs-158

CINCincinnati Reds+134

Pick Probability54%CHC moneyline

CINRhett LowderProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total9.5

Projected Total10.2

Margin Context0.5

CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 5:20 PM MDT

MILMilwaukee Brewers-208

BALBaltimore Orioles+172

Pick Probability54%MIL moneyline

MILJacob MisiorowskiProbable

BALBrandon YoungProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.5

MIL / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 53.9% on MIL is far below the market's ~65%, and the market looks right here: Milwaukee is 97-58 with a .972 OPS and 6.9 RPG, and Misiorows...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:07 PM MDT

MINMinnesota Twins-120

LAALos Angeles Angels+101

Pick Probability53%LAA moneyline

MINDean KremerProbable

LAARyan JohnsonProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total8.3

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context0.1

LAA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model has LAA at 53.1% vs market implied 48.8% — a modest gap I can't justify pushing on. Both starters are below average (Johnson 4.88 ERA/1.34 WH...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:35 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays+138

TEXTexas Rangers-163

Pick Probability52%TEX moneyline

TORSpencer MilesProbable

TEXJacob deGromProbable

Market OddsMarket odds · pregame

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context0.1

TEX / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.84-run total sits nearly two runs above the 7.0 market line despite deGrom (3.79 ERA, 11.31 K/9, 1.07 WHIP) facing Miles (2.65 ERA, 1.09...

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