Top Spotlight / SOCCER / 1X2

IT at MU

Man United win leads the current board at 73%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

ITIpswich Town10%
DRAWDraw17%
MUMan United73%
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability73%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
Game time
Top pick of 29 on 2026-08-30Open matchup
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Strongest Today
No active pickNo eligible games on this board date
Latest Model Update
3 live sport summaries
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Public board.All available feeds are combined below. Probability and odds are shown side by side; audit-held fields stay out of the board.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-30
#1SOCCERpremier league1X2
ITIpswich Town FC
MUManchester United FC
1X2 pickMan United win
Pick Probability73%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
v2.5
Updated features full

Why this pick? Model probability is 73% for Man United win. Expected goals sit at 2.4-0.8.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#2SOCCERla liga1X2
MLAMálaga CF
RMReal Madrid CF
1X2 pickReal Madrid win
Pick Probability69%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
v2.5
Updated features full

Why this pick? Model probability is 69% for Real Madrid win. Expected goals sit at 2.2-0.8.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#3SOCCERligue 11X2
LMLe Mans FC
SR1Stade Rennais FC 1901
1X2 pickStade Rennais win
Pick Probability64%
Closing odds-256
v2.5
Updated features full

Why this pick? Model probability is 64% for Stade Rennais win. Expected goals sit at 2.0-0.8.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+200
ATLAtlanta Braves-245
Pick Probability63%ATL moneyline
COLMason AdamsConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Market implies 67.9% on ATL; model 63.4%, so no comparison on the favorite but the side is fine. Adams has 1 start and 4.0 IP — that 2.25 ERA is me...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+135
CHCChicago Cubs-159
Pick Probability63%CHC moneyline
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 11 / Agrees with model

Model's 62.8% on CHC is ~6.5 points above the market's 56.3% implied, and the pitching comparison actually belongs to Cincinnati: Burns at 2.77 ERA...

Today Board

Full public board across available sports

29 shown
SOCCER / premier league
ITIpswich Town FC
MUManchester United FC
1X2Man United win
Pick Probability73%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
finalEV held
SOCCER / la liga
MLAMálaga CF
RMReal Madrid CF
1X2Real Madrid win
Pick Probability69%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
finalEV held
SOCCER / ligue 1
LMLe Mans FC
SR1Stade Rennais FC 1901
1X2Stade Rennais win
Pick Probability64%
Closing odds-256
finalEV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
COLColorado Rockies+200
ATLAtlanta Braves-245
Pick Probability63%ATL moneyline
COLMason AdamsConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
ATL / standard confidence / Rank 8 / Agrees with model

Market implies 67.9% on ATL; model 63.4%, so no comparison on the favorite but the side is fine. Adams has 1 start and 4.0 IP — that 2.25 ERA is me...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+135
CHCChicago Cubs-159
Pick Probability63%CHC moneyline
CINChase BurnsConfirmed
CHCShota ImanagaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CHC / lean confidence / Rank 11 / Agrees with model

Model's 62.8% on CHC is ~6.5 points above the market's 56.3% implied, and the pitching comparison actually belongs to Cincinnati: Burns at 2.77 ERA...

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+107
NYMNew York Mets-124
Pick Probability61%NYM moneyline
HOUEthan PeckoConfirmed
NYMZac ThorntonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
NYM / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Thornton (2.88 ERA, 1.15 WHIP over 56.1 IP) is a meaningful comparison over Pecko, whose 7.88 ERA in 8 IP across 2 starts is too small a sample to...

SOCCER / bundesliga
S0FC Schalke 04
AUGFC Augsburg
1X2Augsburg win
Pick Probability61%
Closing odds+129
finalEV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-126
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+110
Pick Probability59%STL moneyline
PITBraxton AshcraftConfirmed
STLMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
PIT / lean confidence / Rank 10 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has STL at 59.4% vs market 47.1%, a 12-point gap it can't justify: Liberatore carries a 5.44 ERA and 1.47 WHIP against Ashcraft's 3.59 ERA an...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-144
NYYNew York Yankees+124
Pick Probability59%BOS moneyline
BOSRanger SuarezConfirmed
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market and model agree on Boston, and the pitching gap justifies it: Suarez at 3.35 ERA/1.20 WHIP vs Warren at 4.39/1.42. The offense_defense_misma...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+100
MINMinnesota Twins-120
Pick Probability58%MIN moneyline
CHWJordan HicksConfirmed
MINZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

SOCCER / serie a
IMFC Internazionale Milano
CCCagliari Calcio
1X2Inter win
Pick Probability57%
Closing odds-238
finalEV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-170
LAALos Angeles Angels+144
Pick Probability55%PHI moneyline
PHIZack WheelerConfirmed
LAAYusei KikuchiConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
PHI / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Market prices PHI near 65% while the model sits at 55.4% — the gap is large and I side with the market here. Wheeler (3.40 ERA, 10.71 K/9, 1.09 WHI...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+161
CLECleveland Guardians-192
Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market implies 62.8% for Cleveland vs model's 53.8% — a 9-point gap I side with the market on. Messick (2.50 ERA, 9.06 K/9, 1.01 WHIP) is a clear c...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-159
DETDetroit Tigers+133
Pick Probability53%LAD moneyline
LADTyler GlasnowConfirmed
DETFramber ValdezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Market has LAD near 62% while the model sits at 53.5% — the market looks right here. Glasnow (3.02 ERA, 11.28 K/9, 0.87 WHIP) against a Detroit off...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles-151
OAKOakland Athletics+131
Pick Probability53%BAL moneyline
BALChris BassittConfirmed
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

SOCCER / premier league
FULFulham FC
SUNSunderland AFC
1X2Sunderland win
Pick Probability52%
Closing odds+128
finalEV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+105
WSNWashington Nationals-122
Pick Probability51%WSN moneyline
MIAJanson JunkConfirmed
WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-139
TORToronto Blue Jays+117
Pick Probability51%TOR moneyline
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 9 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has TOR at 50.9% against a market implying 43.7%, and the pitching gap argues against it: Gilbert carries a 3.36 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 9.39 K/9...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SDPSan Diego Padres+140
TBRTampa Bay Rays-164
Pick Probability51%TBR moneyline
SDPRobbie RayConfirmed
TBRDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TBR / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Market implies 60.6% on TBR vs model's 50.9% — a 10-point gap I side with the market on, given Rasmussen's 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 140.1 IP aga...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+135
MILMilwaukee Brewers-163
Pick Probability51%TEX moneyline
TEXKumar RockerConfirmed
MILDustin MayConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes TEX at 50.6% vs market's 40% — a large gap with no support. MIL is 85-51 with .972 OPS and 4.9 RPG; TEX is 66-70 at .698 OPS and 3.5 RP...

SOCCER / la liga
ATHAthletic Club
RCDVRC Celta de Vigo
1X2Celta win
Pick Probability50%
Closing odds+180
finalEV held
SOCCER / bundesliga
SWBSV Werder Bremen
FRESC Freiburg
1X2Freiburg win
Pick Probability48%
Closing odds-130
finalEV held
SOCCER / premier league
BHABrighton & Hove Albion FC
CHEChelsea FC
1X2Chelsea win
Pick Probability48%
Closing odds-110
finalEV held
SOCCER / serie a
GCGenoa CFC
SLSS Lazio
1X2Lazio win
Pick Probability46%
Closing odds+140
finalEV held
SOCCER / ligue 1
ODMOlympique de Marseille
AMAS Monaco FC
1X2Monaco win
Pick Probability46%
Closing odds+127
finalEV held
SOCCER / serie a
C1Como 1907
SNSSC Napoli
1X2Napoli win
Pick Probability44%
Closing odds+167
finalEV held
SOCCER / ligue 1
ONOGC Nice
PARParis FC
1X2Paris FC win
Pick Probability40%
Closing odds+102
finalEV held
SOCCER / la liga
VALValencia CF
RDLCRC Deportivo La Coruña
1X2Deportivo win
Pick Probability39%
Closing oddsNo closing line available.
finalEV held
SOCCER / premier league
BREBrentford FC
LULeeds United FC
1X2Leeds United win
Pick Probability39%
Closing odds+187
finalEV held
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