Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

SFG at LAD

LAD moneyline leads the current board at 71%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

SFGSan Francisco Giants29%

LADLos Angeles Dodgers71%

Open matchup View top picks

Spotlight game / By the numbers

Pick probability71%

Closing odds-278

Game timeSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

VenueUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

SFG starterMatt Wilkinson

LAD starterJack Dreyer

Top pick of 35 on 2026-09-20Open matchup

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Public board.All available feeds are combined below. Probability and odds are shown side by side; audit-held fields stay out of the board.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-20

#1MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+225

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278

Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline

SFGMatt WilkinsonConfirmed

LADJack DreyerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context1.9

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (73.9%) and market (70.5% implied) essentially agree on LAD, and the profile supports it: 95-60, 6.3 RPG against a 64-91 Giants club at .388...

#2MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

BOSBoston Red Sox+126

TBRTampa Bay Rays-150

Pick Probability61%TBR moneyline

BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed

TBRGriffin JaxConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.1

Margin Context0.9

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+225

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278

Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline

SFGMatt WilkinsonConfirmed

LADJack DreyerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.5

Margin Context1.9

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (73.9%) and market (70.5% implied) essentially agree on LAD, and the profile supports it: 95-60, 6.3 RPG against a 64-91 Giants club at .388...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

BOSBoston Red Sox+126

TBRTampa Bay Rays-150

Pick Probability61%TBR moneyline

BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed

TBRGriffin JaxConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.1

Margin Context0.9

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

OAKOakland Athletics+200

CLECleveland Guardians-250

Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline

OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed

CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.0

Projected Total8.0

Margin Context0.9

CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

MIAMiami Marlins+130

SDPSan Diego Padres-154

Pick Probability61%SDP moneyline

MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed

SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.4

Margin Context0.9

SDP / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model's 9.54 total sits 1.5+ above the market's 8.0 at Petco (PF 0.962), with Alcantara at 3.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 206 IP; that gap looks like...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:35 AM MDT

KCRKansas City Royals+100

PITPittsburgh Pirates-118

Pick Probability58%PIT moneyline

KCRMichael WachaConfirmed

PITLake BacharConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total8.3

Margin Context0.7

PIT / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market prices PIT at +100 (48.8%) despite an 11-game record comparison and a large offensive gap (.710 OPS vs .518, 4.1 vs 3.2 RPG); model's 57.8%...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:15 PM MDT

WSNWashington Nationals+108

STLSt. Louis Cardinals-126

Pick Probability58%STL moneyline

WSNJake IrvinConfirmed

STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.1

Margin Context0.5

STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 1:10 PM MDT

SEASeattle Mariners-164

COLColorado Rockies+138

Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline

SEAKade AndersonConfirmed

COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total11.0

Projected Total12.1

Margin Context1.5

SEA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market has SEA around -154 (~59% no-vig) versus the model's 57.4%, so both sides agree; Seattle's .793 OPS and 5.8 RPG against Colorado's .531 OPS...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:40 AM MDT

CHCChicago Cubs-163

CINCincinnati Reds+138

Pick Probability57%CHC moneyline

CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed

CINRhett LowderConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.5

Projected Total10.0

Margin Context0.7

CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:10 PM MDT

NYYNew York Yankees+104

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-122

Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline

NYYWill WarrenConfirmed

ARICorbin BurnesConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context0.7

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:10 PM MDT

ATLAtlanta Braves+130

HOUHouston Astros-154

Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline

ATLMartín PérezConfirmed

HOUHunter BrownConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.7

Margin Context0.3

HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:10 PM MDT

DETDetroit Tigers+100

CHWChicago White Sox-120

Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline

DETTroy MeltonConfirmed

CHWDavis MartinConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total9.3

Margin Context0.3

CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 11:10 AM MDT

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-160

NYMNew York Mets+135

Pick Probability54%PHI moneyline

PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed

NYMJonah TongConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.6

Margin Context0.5

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 5:20 PM MDT

MILMilwaukee Brewers-212

BALBaltimore Orioles+176

Pick Probability54%MIL moneyline

MILJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed

BALBrandon YoungConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context0.5

MIL / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 53.9% on MIL is far below the market's ~65%, and the market looks right here: Milwaukee is 97-58 with a .972 OPS and 6.9 RPG, and Misiorows...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 2:07 PM MDT

MINMinnesota Twins-115

LAALos Angeles Angels-104

Pick Probability53%LAA moneyline

MINDean KremerConfirmed

LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.3

Projected Total8.6

Margin Context0.1

LAA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model has LAA at 53.1% vs market implied 48.8% — a modest gap I can't justify pushing on. Both starters are below average (Johnson 4.88 ERA/1.34 WH...

MLBMoneylineSep 20, 12:35 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays+147

TEXTexas Rangers-176

Pick Probability52%TEX moneyline

TORSpencer MilesConfirmed

TEXJacob deGromConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.6

Margin Context0.1

TEX / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.84-run total sits nearly two runs above the 7.0 market line despite deGrom (3.79 ERA, 11.31 K/9, 1.07 WHIP) facing Miles (2.65 ERA, 1.09...

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