Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 73% — an 8.5pp gap flagged as large disagreement. Ohtani's data is fallback quality (only 6.0 IP logged ove...

#2MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

COLColorado Rockies+170

CINCincinnati Reds-205

Pick Probability63%CIN moneyline

CIN / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (64.1%) and market (64.6%) align on CIN. Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats (4.1 IP, 4.15 ERA) creating structural uncertainty. Burns da...

#3MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:07 PM MDT

Open

BOSBoston Red Sox+100

TORToronto Blue Jays-118

Pick Probability63%TOR moneyline

TOR / pass confidence / Rank 9

Both pitchers are fallback data (Yesavage 5.1 IP, Tolle no stats). Model has TOR at 62.9% vs market 51.2% — an 11.7pp gap with zero pitcher context...

#4MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:35 PM MDT

Open

HOUHouston Astros+116

BALBaltimore Orioles-139

Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#5MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-104

MILMilwaukee Brewers-115

Pick Probability58%MIL moneyline

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-04-28

Rank#1

Apr 28, 6:05 PM MDTNYY at TEXNew York Yankees at Texas Rangers

AI Analyst PickTEXstrong confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelNYY / 57%Model pick probability

Model has NYY at 57% but market is a coin flip (home +105). TEX has Jacob deGrom on the mound—an ace who should suppress NYY's 6.4 RPG offense. Model predicts 9.26 run...

Rank#2

Apr 28, 8:10 PM MDTMIA at LADMiami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers

AI Analyst PickLADlean confidence

Agrees with modelLAD / 64%Model pick probability

Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 73% — an 8.5pp gap flagged as large disagreement. Ohtani's data is fallback quality (only 6.0 IP logged over 10 starts suggests...

Rank#3

Apr 28, 4:10 PM MDTTBR at CLETampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

AI Analyst PickTBRlean confidence

Agrees with modelTBR / 55%Model pick probability

Model projects 9.12 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.6-run gap flags structural miss. Martinez has no resolved stats (null ERA/IP); Bibee's 5.4 ERA in only 5.0 IP is tiny sample...

Rank#4

Apr 28, 4:40 PM MDTCOL at CINColorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

AI Analyst PickCINlean confidence

Agrees with modelCIN / 63%Model pick probability

Model (64.1%) and market (64.6%) align on CIN. Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats (4.1 IP, 4.15 ERA) creating structural uncertainty. Burns data shows full qualit...

Rank#5

Apr 28, 5:10 PM MDTWSN at NYMWashington Nationals at New York Mets

AI Analyst PickNYMlean confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelWSN / 53%Model pick probability

Model has WSN 53% but market heavily favors NYM at 63% implied. Missing pitcher ERA/WHIP data limits conviction despite 10 starts each. Model's 9.06 total vs market 7....

Rank#6

Apr 28, 5:40 PM MDTSEA at MINSeattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins

AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelMIN / 51%Model pick probability

Model sees a coin flip (50.6% MIN), market leans SEA (52.9% implied). SEA's .793 OPS vs MIN's .673 justifies market position. Ryan's 0.00 ERA in 5.1 IP is microscopic...

Rank#7

Apr 28, 4:40 PM MDTSFG at PHISan Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies

AI Analyst PickPHIlean confidence

Analyst disagrees with base modelSFG / 55%Model pick probability

Market heavily favors PHI (-162, 60.5% implied) while model barely leans SFG (55.2%). PHI's 9-19 record and 3.0 RPG are alarming, but model's SHAP features highlight o...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 8:10 PM MDT

Open

MIAMiami Marlins+240

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-295

Pick Probability64%LAD moneyline

LAD / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 73% — an 8.5pp gap flagged as large disagreement. Ohtani's data is fallback quality (only 6.0 IP logged ove...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

COLColorado Rockies+170

CINCincinnati Reds-205

Pick Probability63%CIN moneyline

CIN / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (64.1%) and market (64.6%) align on CIN. Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats (4.1 IP, 4.15 ERA) creating structural uncertainty. Burns da...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:07 PM MDT

Open

BOSBoston Red Sox+100

TORToronto Blue Jays-118

Pick Probability63%TOR moneyline

TOR / pass confidence / Rank 9

Both pitchers are fallback data (Yesavage 5.1 IP, Tolle no stats). Model has TOR at 62.9% vs market 51.2% — an 11.7pp gap with zero pitcher context...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:35 PM MDT

Open

HOUHouston Astros+116

BALBaltimore Orioles-139

Pick Probability58%BAL moneyline

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-104

MILMilwaukee Brewers-115

Pick Probability58%MIL moneyline

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 6:05 PM MDT

Open

NYYNew York Yankees-120

TEXTexas Rangers+100

Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline

TEX / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYY at 57% but market is a coin flip (home +105). TEX has Jacob deGrom on the mound—an ace who should suppress NYY's 6.4 RPG offense. Mod...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:10 PM MDT

Open

TBRTampa Bay Rays+112

CLECleveland Guardians-136

Pick Probability55%TBR moneyline

TBR / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model projects 9.12 runs vs market 7.5—a 1.6-run gap flags structural miss. Martinez has no resolved stats (null ERA/IP); Bibee's 5.4 ERA in only 5...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

SFGSan Francisco Giants+140

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-172

Pick Probability55%SFG moneyline

PHI / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market heavily favors PHI (-162, 60.5% implied) while model barely leans SFG (55.2%). PHI's 9-19 record and 3.0 RPG are alarming, but model's SHAP...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

KCRKansas City Royals-116

OAKOakland Athletics+100

Pick Probability55%KCR moneyline

KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+132

PITPittsburgh Pirates-158

Pick Probability54%PIT moneyline

PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

LAALos Angeles Angels-134

CHWChicago White Sox+115

Pick Probability54%CHW moneyline

CHW / pass confidence / Rank 8

Model gives CHW 53.5% vs market's 45.2%—an 8.3pp gap triggers the flag. Soriano's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is noise, not signal. Martin has no resolved s...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:10 PM MDT

Open

WSNWashington Nationals+156

NYMNew York Mets-190

Pick Probability53%WSN moneyline

NYM / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN 53% but market heavily favors NYM at 63% implied. Missing pitcher ERA/WHIP data limits conviction despite 10 starts each. Model's 9.0...

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

CHCChicago Cubs-120

SDPSan Diego Padres+100

Pick Probability52%CHC moneyline

CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

DETDetroit Tigers+105

ATLAtlanta Braves-125

Pick Probability51%ATL moneyline

ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineApr 28, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

SEASeattle Mariners-126

MINMinnesota Twins+108

Pick Probability51%MIN moneyline

SEA / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model sees a coin flip (50.6% MIN), market leans SEA (52.9% implied). SEA's .793 OPS vs MIN's .673 justifies market position. Ryan's 0.00 ERA in 5....