Top Picks

Ranked picks with source labels.

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Top Picks

Strongest current predictions

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+225
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-278
Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline
SFGMatt WilkinsonConfirmed
LADJack DreyerConfirmed
Market OddsMarket odds · pregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.9
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (73.9%) and market (70.5% implied) essentially agree on LAD, and the profile supports it: 95-60, 6.3 RPG against a 64-91 Giants club at .388...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+126
TBRTampa Bay Rays-150
Pick Probability61%TBR moneyline
BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed
TBRGriffin JaxConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+200
CLECleveland Guardians-250
Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline
OAKJack PerkinsConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.0
Margin Context0.9
Model pick
CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MIAMiami Marlins+130
SDPSan Diego Padres-154
Pick Probability61%SDP moneyline
MIASandy AlcantaraConfirmed
SDPWalker BuehlerConfirmed
Market OddsMarket odds · pregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SDP / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model's 9.54 total sits 1.5+ above the market's 8.0 at Petco (PF 0.962), with Alcantara at 3.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP over 206 IP; that gap looks like...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+100
PITPittsburgh Pirates-118
Pick Probability58%PIT moneyline
KCRMichael WachaConfirmed
PITLake BacharConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.3
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
PIT / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Market prices PIT at +100 (48.8%) despite an 11-game record comparison and a large offensive gap (.710 OPS vs .518, 4.1 vs 3.2 RPG); model's 57.8%...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+108
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-126
Pick Probability58%STL moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
STLQuinn MathewsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-164
COLColorado Rockies+138
Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline
SEAKade AndersonConfirmed
COLTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.0
Projected Total12.1
Margin Context1.5
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market has SEA around -154 (~59% no-vig) versus the model's 57.4%, so both sides agree; Seattle's .793 OPS and 5.8 RPG against Colorado's .531 OPS...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-163
CINCincinnati Reds+138
Pick Probability57%CHC moneyline
CHCDavid PetersonConfirmed
CINRhett LowderConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total10.0
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees+104
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-122
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
NYYWill WarrenConfirmed
ARICorbin BurnesConfirmed
Market OddsMarket odds · pregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+130
HOUHouston Astros-154
Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline
ATLMartín PérezConfirmed
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
HOU moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+100
CHWChicago White Sox-120
Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-160
NYMNew York Mets+135
Pick Probability54%PHI moneyline
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
NYMJonah TongConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-208
BALBaltimore Orioles+172
Pick Probability54%MIL moneyline
MILJacob MisiorowskiProbable
BALBrandon YoungProbable
Market OddsMarket odds · pregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
MIL / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 53.9% on MIL is far below the market's ~65%, and the market looks right here: Milwaukee is 97-58 with a .972 OPS and 6.9 RPG, and Misiorows...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-116
LAALos Angeles Angels-102
Pick Probability53%LAA moneyline
MINDean KremerConfirmed
LAARyan JohnsonConfirmed
Market OddsMarket odds · pregame
Market Total8.3
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
LAA / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model has LAA at 53.1% vs market implied 48.8% — a modest gap I can't justify pushing on. Both starters are below average (Johnson 4.88 ERA/1.34 WH...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+147
TEXTexas Rangers-176
Pick Probability52%TEX moneyline
TORSpencer MilesConfirmed
TEXJacob deGromConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.84-run total sits nearly two runs above the 7.0 market line despite deGrom (3.79 ERA, 11.31 K/9, 1.07 WHIP) facing Miles (2.65 ERA, 1.09...

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