LAK at COL

Model likes TOR at 58.6% vs market's coin-flip 50.8%. Corbin's 1.69 ERA is fallback data—cannot trust. Kochanowicz's 11.25 ERA in 4.0 IP is tiny sa...

Weiss has 1.0 IP this season—functionally no data. Model overweights his walk rate in that single inning. CLE implied at 58% vs market 57% is negli...

Woods Richardson has no resolved stats (null ERA/IP/K9), triggering structural uncertainty despite 10 starts logged. NYM offense is deeply broken (...

Chase Burns has no season stats; Matz ERA 7.20 in 5 IP is tiny sample. Model total 9.30 vs market 7.5 is a 1.8-run gap flagged as structural miss....

Model favors BAL 57.4% vs market's 46% (implied from +114). KCR offense is league-worst at 3.1 RPG/.518 OPS through 23 games. Bubic's missing stats...

Market heavily favors SEA at 61.1% implied while model leans OAK at 55.7%. T-Mobile extreme pitcher park (0.855 PF) argues for run suppression. Mod...

Model has LAD 55.2%, market at 64% (~-178). Model underweights LAD's 16-6 record and 5.8 RPG vs SFG's 3.9 RPG with .388 OPS. Oracle Park (PF 0.906)...

Model has SDP 58.6%, market implies 56.6% — close alignment. COL pitcher is TBD with 4.1 IP fallback data; structural uncertainty dominates. Coors...

Montero's pitcher data is fallback (4.1 IP across 10 starts is incoherent), Harrison has no resolved stats. Model has MIL at 52.2% vs market 48.9%—...