Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

ATL at HOU

HOU moneyline leads the current board at 71%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

ATLAtlanta Braves29%

HOUHouston Astros71%

Open matchup View top picks

Spotlight game / By the numbers

Pick probability71%

Closing odds-136

Game timeSep 19, 5:10 PM MDT

VenueDaikin Park · Houston, TX

ATL starterGrant Holmes

HOU starterHayden Wesneski

Top pick of 38 on 2026-09-19Open matchup

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Public board.All available feeds are combined below. Probability and odds are shown side by side; audit-held fields stay out of the board.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-19

#1MLBMoneylineSep 19, 5:10 PM MDT

ATLAtlanta Braves+114

HOUHouston Astros-136

Pick Probability71%HOU moneyline

ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed

HOUHayden WesneskiConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context1.4

ATL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 70.6% on HOU is 15 points above the market's 55.2% while picking the team with both the worse record (77-77 vs 90-64) and worse offense (3....

#2MLBMoneylineSep 19, 7:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+320

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-417

Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline

SFGYunior MarteConfirmed

LADTarik SkubalConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.3

Margin Context1.6

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

LAD at 94-60 with 5.6 RPG and Skubal (2.70 ERA, 10.62 K/9, 0.95 WHIP) behind them is a defensible side against a 64-90 SFG club. But the Giants sta...

#3SOCCERla liga1X2

BARFC Barcelona

1X2 pickBarça win

Pick Probability67%

Closing odds-357

Sep 19, 1:00 PM MDTv2.5

Updated Sep 19, 12:30 PM MDT features full

Why this pick? Model probability is 67% for Barça win. Expected goals sit at 0.8-2.1.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#4SOCCERpremier league1X2

ITIpswich Town FC

1X2 pickEverton win

Pick Probability63%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

Sep 19, 8:00 AM MDTv2.5

Updated Sep 18, 8:03 PM MDT features full

Why this pick? Model probability is 63% for Everton win. Expected goals sit at 1.9-0.8.

Edge and EV held for audit.

#5MLBMoneylineSep 19, 4:10 PM MDT

OAKOakland Athletics+155

CLECleveland Guardians-187

Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline

OAKJacob LopezConfirmed

CLETanner BibeeConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.1

CLE / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.4%) and market (62.7%) essentially agree on Cleveland, so no comparison to press but the side is defensible: OAK at 3.3 RPG and .512 OPS...

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MLBMoneylineSep 19, 5:10 PM MDT

ATLAtlanta Braves+114

HOUHouston Astros-136

Pick Probability71%HOU moneyline

ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed

HOUHayden WesneskiConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context1.4

ATL / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's 70.6% on HOU is 15 points above the market's 55.2% while picking the team with both the worse record (77-77 vs 90-64) and worse offense (3....

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 7:10 PM MDT

SFGSan Francisco Giants+320

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-417

Pick Probability71%LAD moneyline

SFGYunior MarteConfirmed

LADTarik SkubalConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.3

Margin Context1.6

LAD / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

LAD at 94-60 with 5.6 RPG and Skubal (2.70 ERA, 10.62 K/9, 0.95 WHIP) behind them is a defensible side against a 64-90 SFG club. But the Giants sta...

Sep 19, 1:00 PM MDTSOCCER / la liga

BARFC Barcelona

Pick Probability67%

Closing odds-357

Sep 19, 8:00 AM MDTSOCCER / premier league

ITIpswich Town FC

Pick Probability63%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 4:10 PM MDT

OAKOakland Athletics+155

CLECleveland Guardians-187

Pick Probability61%CLE moneyline

OAKJacob LopezConfirmed

CLETanner BibeeConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.8

Margin Context1.1

CLE / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.4%) and market (62.7%) essentially agree on Cleveland, so no comparison to press but the side is defensible: OAK at 3.3 RPG and .512 OPS...

Sep 19, 8:00 AM MDTSOCCER / premier league

BHABrighton & Hove Albion FC

Pick Probability60%

Closing odds-141

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 6:40 PM MDT

MIAMiami Marlins+130

SDPSan Diego Padres-156

Pick Probability59%SDP moneyline

MIAEury PérezConfirmed

SDPCasey MizeConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.2

Margin Context0.8

SDP / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (58.8%) and market (58.6%) agree on San Diego, and SDP's 85-69 record supports it over Miami's 76-78. The model's 9.40-run total is nearly tw...

Sep 19, 10:30 AM MDTSOCCER / la liga

RRDSReal Racing Club de Santander

RCDVRC Celta de Vigo

Pick Probability58%

Closing odds-116

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 12:10 PM MDT

DETDetroit Tigers+110

CHWChicago White Sox-130

Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline

DETJackson JobeConfirmed

CHWSean BurkeConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.7

CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 2:10 PM MDT

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies+105

NYMNew York Mets-125

Pick Probability58%NYM moneyline

PHIAndrew PainterConfirmed

NYMChristian ScottConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.1

Margin Context0.6

NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Sep 19, 12:45 PM MDTSOCCER / ligue 1

1X2Toulouse win

Pick Probability57%

Closing odds-147

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 4:40 PM MDT

CHCChicago Cubs-146

CINCincinnati Reds+123

Pick Probability57%CHC moneyline

CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed

CINNick LodoloConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total9.0

Projected Total9.8

Margin Context0.9

CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 6:10 PM MDT

SEASeattle Mariners-148

COLColorado Rockies+125

Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline

SEABryce MillerConfirmed

COLJose QuintanaConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total10.5

Projected Total12.0

Margin Context0.9

SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 2:05 PM MDT

MILMilwaukee Brewers-110

BALBaltimore Orioles-109

Pick Probability56%BAL moneyline

MILRobert GasserConfirmed

BALTrevor RogersConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.4

MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model's BAL lean contradicts a 21-game record gap (96-58 vs 75-79) and a .972 vs .662 OPS comparison, which is exactly the offense/defense mismatch...

Sep 19, 8:00 AM MDTSOCCER / premier league

HCHull City AFC

NUNewcastle United FC

1X2Newcastle win

Pick Probability55%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 4:40 PM MDT

KCRKansas City Royals+100

PITPittsburgh Pirates-118

Pick Probability54%PIT moneyline

KCRNoah CameronConfirmed

PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.0

Projected Total8.0

Margin Context0.1

PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 7:38 PM MDT

MINMinnesota Twins+102

LAALos Angeles Angels-122

Pick Probability54%LAA moneyline

MINJoe RyanProbable

LAAReid DetmersConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.4

Margin Context0.1

LAA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 5:05 PM MDT

TORToronto Blue Jays-106

TEXTexas Rangers-112

Pick Probability54%TOR moneyline

TORJosé SorianoConfirmed

TEXCal QuantrillConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.4

TEX / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market is a true pick'em and the model's 53.9% on TOR comes with the offense_defense_mismatch flag: Toronto has the worse record (76-78) and scores...

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 6:10 PM MDT

NYYNew York Yankees-164

ARIArizona Diamondbacks+138

Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline

NYYCam SchlittlerConfirmed

ARIBrandon PfaadtConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total8.7

Margin Context0.4

NYY / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model has NYY at only 53.9% while the market implies ~58%; here the market looks right. Schlittler (1.95 ERA, 11.11 K/9, 0.90 WHIP) is a clear step...

Sep 19, 12:45 PM MDTSOCCER / serie a

Pick Probability54%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

Sep 19, 10:30 AM MDTSOCCER / premier league

CCCoventry City FC

NFNottingham Forest FC

1X2Nottingham win

Pick Probability54%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 2:10 PM MDT

BOSBoston Red Sox+125

TBRTampa Bay Rays-150

Pick Probability53%TBR moneyline

BOSBrayan BelloConfirmed

TBRFreddy PeraltaConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total7.5

Projected Total9.0

Margin Context0.0

TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineSep 19, 5:15 PM MDT

WSNWashington Nationals-108

STLSt. Louis Cardinals-110

Pick Probability53%STL moneyline

WSNAndrew AlvarezConfirmed

STLMichael McGreevyConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

Market Total8.5

Projected Total9.8

Margin Context0.1

STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Sep 19, 12:45 PM MDTSOCCER / ligue 1

Pick Probability48%

Closing odds+158

Sep 19, 8:15 AM MDTSOCCER / la liga

DADeportivo Alavés

ATHAthletic Club

1X2Athletic win

Pick Probability47%

Closing odds-161

Sep 19, 7:30 AM MDTSOCCER / bundesliga

Pick Probability46%

Closing odds+179

Sep 19, 7:00 AM MDTSOCCER / serie a

CCCagliari Calcio

UCUdinese Calcio

Pick Probability45%

Closing odds+125

Sep 19, 9:15 AM MDTSOCCER / ligue 1

RSARC Strasbourg Alsace

1X2Paris FC win

Pick Probability45%

Closing odds-119

Sep 19, 12:45 PM MDTSOCCER / ligue 1

SR1Stade Rennais FC 1901

OLOlympique Lyonnais

1X2Olympique Lyon win

Pick Probability44%

Closing odds+115

Sep 19, 10:30 AM MDTSOCCER / bundesliga

BDBorussia Dortmund

VSVfB Stuttgart

1X2Stuttgart win

Pick Probability43%

Closing odds+144

Sep 19, 10:00 AM MDTSOCCER / serie a

IMFC Internazionale Milano

Pick Probability42%

Closing odds+177

Sep 19, 6:00 AM MDTSOCCER / la liga

RVDMRayo Vallecano de Madrid

1X2Rayo Vallecano win

Pick Probability42%

Closing odds+166

Sep 19, 12:45 PM MDTSOCCER / ligue 1

ETAES Troyes AC

1X2Angers SCO win

Pick Probability41%

Closing oddsNo closing line available.

Sep 19, 7:00 AM MDTSOCCER / serie a

B1Bologna FC 1909

Pick Probability41%

Closing odds+353

Sep 19, 7:30 AM MDTSOCCER / bundesliga

SWBSV Werder Bremen

Pick Probability38%

Closing odds+133

Sep 19, 7:30 AM MDTSOCCER / bundesliga

1FM01. FSV Mainz 05

BMBorussia Mönchengladbach

Pick Probability38%

Closing odds+114

Sep 19, 7:30 AM MDTSOCCER / bundesliga

EFEintracht Frankfurt

1X2Frankfurt win

Pick Probability38%

Closing odds+163

Sep 19, 5:30 AM MDTSOCCER / premier league

AVAston Villa FC

THTottenham Hotspur FC

1X2Aston Villa win

Pick Probability37%

Closing odds+323

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