Results
Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.
Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.
MLB Moneyline
Probability Buckets
50.0%-52.5%76-81
48.4%avg 51.4%
-3.0 pts157 picks
52.5%-55.0%172-145
54.3%avg 53.5%
+0.8 pts317 picks
55.0%-57.5%130-138
48.5%avg 55.9%
-7.4 pts268 picks
57.5%-60.0%165-182
47.6%avg 58.1%
-10.5 pts347 picks
60.0%-62.5%41-29
58.6%avg 60.6%
-2.1 pts70 picks
62.5%-65.0%28-30
48.3%avg 63.6%
-15.3 pts58 picks
65.0%-70.0%2-2 / small sample
50.0%avg 66.5%
-16.5 pts4 picks
70.0%-100.0%1-1 / small sample
50.0%avg 71.9%
-21.9 pts2 picks
MLB moneyline overlay
AI Analyst Results
Agreement
Agrees with base model148-122
54.8%270 graded
Disagrees with base model155-87
64.0%242 graded
Confidence Labels
Strong35 tracked
48.6%17-18
Standard57 tracked
63.6%35-20
Lean428 tracked
59.5%251-171
Rank Bands
Rank 182 tracked
54.3%44-37
Ranks 2-3160 tracked
60.1%95-63
Ranks 4-5130 tracked
64.1%82-46
Rank 6+144 tracked
56.0%79-62
Same-Game Outcomes
AI Analyst win rate59.2%
Base model win rate46.3%
Both won / both lost152 / 124
Compared games512
ARI @ LAD / lean / rank 3
AI Analyst: ARI moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: LAD moneyline60.7%
pendingModel pending
ATL @ STL / lean / rank 8
AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: STL moneyline52.7%
pendingModel pending
HOU @ TEX / lean / rank 6
AI Analyst: HOU moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: TEX moneyline56.0%
pendingModel pending
PHI @ DET / lean / rank 5
AI Analyst: PHI moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: PHI moneyline57.1%
pendingModel pending
CLE @ MIA / lean / rank 4
AI Analyst: MIA moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: MIA moneyline59.8%
pendingModel pending
MIL @ PIT / lean / rank 7
AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: PIT moneyline52.7%
pendingModel pending
NYY @ WSN / standard / rank 1
AI Analyst: NYY moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: WSN moneyline52.7%
pendingModel pending
LAA @ MIN / standard / rank 2
AI Analyst: MIN moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: MIN moneyline60.0%
pendingModel pending
ARI @ LAD / lean / rank 4
AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: LAD moneyline60.5%
LostModel Lost
ATL @ STL / standard / rank 2
AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: STL moneyline52.7%
LostModel Won
LAA @ MIN / lean / rank 10
AI Analyst: MIN moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: LAA moneyline51.9%
LostModel Won
OAK @ CHW / lean / rank 5
AI Analyst: CHW moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: CHW moneyline60.7%
WonModel Won
BOS @ NYM / lean / rank 7
AI Analyst: BOS moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: NYM moneyline50.0%
WonModel Lost
CHC @ CIN / lean / rank 9
AI Analyst: CHC moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: CIN moneyline52.7%
LostModel Won
CLE @ MIA / lean / rank 6
AI Analyst: MIA moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: MIA moneyline52.7%
LostModel Lost
SEA @ TBR / lean / rank 8
AI Analyst: TBR moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: SEA moneyline57.1%
WonModel Lost
KCR @ BAL / lean / rank 3
AI Analyst: BAL moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: BAL moneyline50.0%
WonModel Won
NYY @ WSN / standard / rank 1
AI Analyst: NYY moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: WSN moneyline56.0%
WonModel Lost
LAA @ TEX / lean / rank 6
AI Analyst: LAA moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: TEX moneyline59.8%
LostModel Won
MIL @ STL / lean / rank 3
AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: MIL moneyline51.5%
WonModel Won
SEA @ MIA / standard / rank 1
AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: MIA moneyline53.2%
LostModel Won
CLE @ MIN / lean / rank 2
AI Analyst: CLE moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: MIN moneyline56.0%
WonModel Lost
CHC @ BAL / lean / rank 5
AI Analyst: CHC moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: CHC moneyline51.9%
LostModel Lost
ATL @ PIT / lean / rank 4
AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model
Base: PIT moneyline55.9%
WonModel Lost
COL @ LAD / lean / rank 1
AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model
Base: LAD moneyline66.5%
WonModel Won
Pick ledger
Tracked Picks
ARI @ LAD / Moneyline
LAD moneyline60.7%
pendingNo score yet
TOR @ SDP / Moneyline
SDP moneyline60.7%
pendingNo score yet
ATL @ STL / Moneyline
STL moneyline52.7%
pendingNo score yet
CHC @ CIN / Moneyline
CHC moneyline51.9%
pendingNo score yet
KCR @ BAL / Moneyline
BAL moneyline52.7%
pendingNo score yet
HOU @ TEX / Moneyline
TEX moneyline56.0%
pendingNo score yet
PHI @ DET / Moneyline
PHI moneyline57.1%
pendingNo score yet
CLE @ MIA / Moneyline
MIA moneyline59.8%
pendingNo score yet
BOS @ NYM / Moneyline
NYM moneyline52.7%
pendingNo score yet
SEA @ TBR / Moneyline
TBR moneyline50.6%
pendingNo score yet
MIL @ PIT / Moneyline
PIT moneyline52.7%
pendingNo score yet
COL @ SFG / Moneyline
SFG moneyline60.7%
pendingNo score yet
NYY @ WSN / Moneyline
WSN moneyline52.7%
pendingNo score yet
OAK @ CHW / Moneyline
CHW moneyline60.0%
pendingNo score yet
LAA @ MIN / Moneyline
MIN moneyline60.0%
pendingNo score yet
MIL @ PIT / Moneyline
PIT moneyline50.0%
pendingNo score yet
COL @ SFG / Moneyline
SFG moneyline52.7%
Lost4-3
ARI @ LAD / Moneyline
LAD moneyline60.5%
Lost9-3
TOR @ SDP / Moneyline
SDP moneyline56.0%
Lost5-3
ATL @ STL / Moneyline
STL moneyline52.7%
Won1-2
LAA @ MIN / Moneyline
LAA moneyline51.9%
Won4-3
HOU @ TEX / Moneyline
TEX moneyline56.0%
Won3-7
OAK @ CHW / Moneyline
CHW moneyline60.7%
Won1-14
BOS @ NYM / Moneyline
NYM moneyline50.0%
Lost6-2
CHC @ CIN / Moneyline
CIN moneyline52.7%
Won0-4
CLE @ MIA / Moneyline
MIA moneyline52.7%
Lost3-2
SEA @ TBR / Moneyline
SEA moneyline57.1%
Lost2-7
KCR @ BAL / Moneyline
BAL moneyline50.0%
Won3-5
NYY @ WSN / Moneyline
WSN moneyline56.0%
Lost5-3
PHI @ DET / Moneyline
DET moneyline53.6%
Won2-10
COL @ SFG / Moneyline
SFG moneyline56.0%
Won2-8
ARI @ SDP / Moneyline
SDP moneyline56.0%
Lost3-1
LAA @ TEX / Moneyline
TEX moneyline59.8%
Won6-7
MIL @ STL / Moneyline
MIL moneyline51.5%
Won8-4
PHI @ CIN / Moneyline
CIN moneyline57.6%
Lost1-0
OAK @ DET / Moneyline
DET moneyline52.7%
Won1-4
SEA @ MIA / Moneyline
MIA moneyline53.2%
Won4-8
BOS @ CHW / Moneyline
CHW moneyline53.2%
Lost2-1
CLE @ MIN / Moneyline
MIN moneyline56.0%
Lost5-2
CHC @ BAL / Moneyline
CHC moneyline51.9%
Lost2-3
KCR @ NYM / Moneyline
NYM moneyline53.2%
Won3-7
NYY @ TBR / Moneyline
TBR moneyline57.6%
Lost12-4
ATL @ PIT / Moneyline
PIT moneyline55.9%
Lost10-5
COL @ LAD / Moneyline
LAD moneyline66.5%
Won3-4
ARI @ SDP / Moneyline
SDP moneyline50.0%
Won4-10
LAA @ TEX / Moneyline
TEX moneyline60.7%
Lost13-1
MIL @ STL / Moneyline
STL moneyline51.4%
Won1-5
BOS @ CHW / Moneyline
CHW moneyline59.8%
Lost5-0
CLE @ MIN / Moneyline
MIN moneyline50.0%
Won5-6
PHI @ CIN / Moneyline
CIN moneyline62.0%
Won5-11